National Weather Service guidance for Miami on April 19 projects highs near 84-86°F amid mostly sunny skies, light east-southeast winds around 5-10 mph, and low shower chances, driving trader sentiment with 84-85°F at 39% implied probability edging out 86-87°F (32.5%) and 88-89°F (24%). This clustering reflects strong model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs under a persistent mid-level ridge promoting efficient diurnal heating, but subtle differences in sea breeze onset timing—potentially delayed by weak steering currents—differentiate outcomes, allowing inland sites to peak higher before coastal moderation. Afternoon convection risks add uncertainty, with ensemble means centered on 85°F against April climatological averages of 82°F; monitor 12Z updates and Miami soundings for refinements ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Miami on April 19?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 19?
84-85°F 40%
86-87°F 34%
88-89°F 22%
82-83°F 3.5%
$14,667 ปริมาณ
$14,667 ปริมาณ
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
40%
86-87°F
34%
88-89°F
22%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
1%
84-85°F 40%
86-87°F 34%
88-89°F 22%
82-83°F 3.5%
$14,667 ปริมาณ
$14,667 ปริมาณ
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
40%
86-87°F
34%
88-89°F
22%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance for Miami on April 19 projects highs near 84-86°F amid mostly sunny skies, light east-southeast winds around 5-10 mph, and low shower chances, driving trader sentiment with 84-85°F at 39% implied probability edging out 86-87°F (32.5%) and 88-89°F (24%). This clustering reflects strong model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs under a persistent mid-level ridge promoting efficient diurnal heating, but subtle differences in sea breeze onset timing—potentially delayed by weak steering currents—differentiate outcomes, allowing inland sites to peak higher before coastal moderation. Afternoon convection risks add uncertainty, with ensemble means centered on 85°F against April climatological averages of 82°F; monitor 12Z updates and Miami soundings for refinements ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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