Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 90-91°F at 100% implied probability for Miami's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, driven by National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recording a peak of 91°F around 1:50 p.m. EDT amid a persistent upper-level high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover, maximized solar insolation, and yielded above-normal afternoon heating—well above the May climatological average of 86°F. Real-time ASOS data confirms this positioning, with no higher readings through sunset. Realistic challenges would require a rare preliminary data correction in the forthcoming daily climatological report (CLI), though model forecasts and analogs aligned closely with this outcome. Final NWS verification expected within 24 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Miami on May 7?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 7?
90-91°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$82,491 ปริมาณ
$82,491 ปริมาณ
May 7, 2026
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
Yes
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
90-91°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$82,491 ปริมาณ
$82,491 ปริมาณ
May 7, 2026
79°F or below
$1,789 ปริมาณ
No
80-81°F
$1,104 ปริมาณ
No
82-83°F
$2,601 ปริมาณ
No
84-85°F
$7,539 ปริมาณ
No
86-87°F
$10,512 ปริมาณ
No
88-89°F
$8,273 ปริมาณ
No
90-91°F
$14,526 ปริมาณ
Yes
92-93°F
$10,417 ปริมาณ
No
94-95°F
$9,157 ปริมาณ
No
96-97°F
$10,658 ปริมาณ
No
98°F or higher
$5,915 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 90-91°F at 100% implied probability for Miami's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, driven by National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recording a peak of 91°F around 1:50 p.m. EDT amid a persistent upper-level high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover, maximized solar insolation, and yielded above-normal afternoon heating—well above the May climatological average of 86°F. Real-time ASOS data confirms this positioning, with no higher readings through sunset. Realistic challenges would require a rare preliminary data correction in the forthcoming daily climatological report (CLI), though model forecasts and analogs aligned closely with this outcome. Final NWS verification expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 5, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$82,491วันสิ้นสุด
May 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 5, 2026, 12:27 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 90-91°F at 100% implied probability for Miami's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, driven by National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recording a peak of 91°F around 1:50 p.m. EDT amid a persistent upper-level high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover, maximized solar insolation, and yielded above-normal afternoon heating—well above the May climatological average of 86°F. Real-time ASOS data confirms this positioning, with no higher readings through sunset. Realistic challenges would require a rare preliminary data correction in the forthcoming daily climatological report (CLI), though model forecasts and analogs aligned closely with this outcome. Final NWS verification expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$82,491วันสิ้นสุด
May 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 5, 2026, 12:27 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 90-91°F at 100% implied probability for Miami's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, driven by National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recording a peak of 91°F around 1:50 p.m. EDT amid a persistent upper-level high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover, maximized solar insolation, and yielded above-normal afternoon heating—well above the May climatological average of 86°F. Real-time ASOS data confirms this positioning, with no higher readings through sunset. Realistic challenges would require a rare preliminary data correction in the forthcoming daily climatological report (CLI), though model forecasts and analogs aligned closely with this outcome. Final NWS verification expected within 24 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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