Recent numerical weather prediction models from multiple sources indicate highs of 22–23°C for Munich on September 1 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly flow, aligning with the 22.2°C climatological average high and positioning 23–24°C as the leading market-implied outcomes. Stable high pressure and absence of strong advection or föhn effects support limited diurnal warming, while dew points near 12–13°C and low precipitation chances reduce variability. Short-range ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values with minimal upside risk from unusual warmth, explaining the combined 76.5% probability on 23–24°C versus lower odds on extremes. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine any late adjustments to steering patterns or cloud cover.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on September 1?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 1?
24°C 45%
23°C 32%
25°C 13%
22°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
6%
22°C
12%
23°C
32%
24°C
45%
25°C
13%
26°C
7%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 45%
23°C 32%
25°C 13%
22°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
18°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
23°C
$97 ปริมาณ
32%
24°C
$637 ปริมาณ
45%
25°C
$56 ปริมาณ
13%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from multiple sources indicate highs of 22–23°C for Munich on September 1 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly flow, aligning with the 22.2°C climatological average high and positioning 23–24°C as the leading market-implied outcomes. Stable high pressure and absence of strong advection or föhn effects support limited diurnal warming, while dew points near 12–13°C and low precipitation chances reduce variability. Short-range ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values with minimal upside risk from unusual warmth, explaining the combined 76.5% probability on 23–24°C versus lower odds on extremes. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine any late adjustments to steering patterns or cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$790วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from multiple sources indicate highs of 22–23°C for Munich on September 1 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly flow, aligning with the 22.2°C climatological average high and positioning 23–24°C as the leading market-implied outcomes. Stable high pressure and absence of strong advection or föhn effects support limited diurnal warming, while dew points near 12–13°C and low precipitation chances reduce variability. Short-range ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values with minimal upside risk from unusual warmth, explaining the combined 76.5% probability on 23–24°C versus lower odds on extremes. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine any late adjustments to steering patterns or cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$790วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from multiple sources indicate highs of 22–23°C for Munich on September 1 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly flow, aligning with the 22.2°C climatological average high and positioning 23–24°C as the leading market-implied outcomes. Stable high pressure and absence of strong advection or föhn effects support limited diurnal warming, while dew points near 12–13°C and low precipitation chances reduce variability. Short-range ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values with minimal upside risk from unusual warmth, explaining the combined 76.5% probability on 23–24°C versus lower odds on extremes. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine any late adjustments to steering patterns or cloud cover.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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