Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a NYC high temperature of 54-55°F at 36% implied probability for April 19, aligned with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF showing peaks near 54°F under cloudy, rainy conditions. This positioning stems from a sharp cooldown following mid-week heat—Central Park neared 90°F on April 15 amid a ridge breakdown—now replaced by a cyclonic upper-level trough introducing cooler Canadian air, northerly winds, and scattered showers that cap daytime heating. Recent 10-day forecasts from NOAA-affiliated sources confirm this trajectory, with cloud cover and precipitation probabilities around 70% suppressing highs below climatological April norms of 59°F. Updated model runs Saturday could refine odds amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on April 19?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 19?
54-55°F 34%
56-57°F 28%
58-59°F 18%
52-53°F 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Apr 19, 2026
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
3%
52-53°F
16%
54-55°F
34%
56-57°F
28%
58-59°F
18%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66°F or higher
1%
54-55°F 34%
56-57°F 28%
58-59°F 18%
52-53°F 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Apr 19, 2026
47°F or below
$786 ปริมาณ
<1%
48-49°F
$591 ปริมาณ
1%
50-51°F
$600 ปริมาณ
3%
52-53°F
$684 ปริมาณ
16%
54-55°F
$771 ปริมาณ
34%
56-57°F
$631 ปริมาณ
28%
58-59°F
$795 ปริมาณ
18%
60-61°F
$1,385 ปริมาณ
5%
62-63°F
$826 ปริมาณ
1%
64-65°F
$1,142 ปริมาณ
1%
66°F or higher
$1,255 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a NYC high temperature of 54-55°F at 36% implied probability for April 19, aligned with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF showing peaks near 54°F under cloudy, rainy conditions. This positioning stems from a sharp cooldown following mid-week heat—Central Park neared 90°F on April 15 amid a ridge breakdown—now replaced by a cyclonic upper-level trough introducing cooler Canadian air, northerly winds, and scattered showers that cap daytime heating. Recent 10-day forecasts from NOAA-affiliated sources confirm this trajectory, with cloud cover and precipitation probabilities around 70% suppressing highs below climatological April norms of 59°F. Updated model runs Saturday could refine odds amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,462วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a NYC high temperature of 54-55°F at 36% implied probability for April 19, aligned with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF showing peaks near 54°F under cloudy, rainy conditions. This positioning stems from a sharp cooldown following mid-week heat—Central Park neared 90°F on April 15 amid a ridge breakdown—now replaced by a cyclonic upper-level trough introducing cooler Canadian air, northerly winds, and scattered showers that cap daytime heating. Recent 10-day forecasts from NOAA-affiliated sources confirm this trajectory, with cloud cover and precipitation probabilities around 70% suppressing highs below climatological April norms of 59°F. Updated model runs Saturday could refine odds amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,462วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a NYC high temperature of 54-55°F at 36% implied probability for April 19, aligned with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF showing peaks near 54°F under cloudy, rainy conditions. This positioning stems from a sharp cooldown following mid-week heat—Central Park neared 90°F on April 15 amid a ridge breakdown—now replaced by a cyclonic upper-level trough introducing cooler Canadian air, northerly winds, and scattered showers that cap daytime heating. Recent 10-day forecasts from NOAA-affiliated sources confirm this trajectory, with cloud cover and precipitation probabilities around 70% suppressing highs below climatological April norms of 59°F. Updated model runs Saturday could refine odds amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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