Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station—the Polymarket reference—confirm a highest temperature of 23.5°C at 15:01 UTC on April 25, 2026, locking in 100% market-implied odds for the 23°C outcome amid clear skies and high-pressure ridging. This exceeded pre-event ensemble forecasts from Météo-France projecting 20–21°C maxima, driven by abundant sunshine (over 10 hours) and light winds fostering daytime heating, consistent with the warm April trend (monthly mean 12.7°C, ranking 7th highest since 1920). Trader consensus reflects validated METAR/SYNOP data, with nearby days peaking at 22.6°C (April 24). Realistic challenges include rare data revisions post-finalization or undetected sensor anomalies, as probed in prior Paris stations, though none evident here.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on April 25?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 25?
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$111,338 ปริมาณ
$111,338 ปริมาณ
Apr 25, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$111,338 ปริมาณ
$111,338 ปริมาณ
Apr 25, 2026
15°C or below
$6,680 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$602 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$711 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$1,690 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$2,812 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$9,015 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$13,806 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$20,980 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$17,197 ปริมาณ
Yes
24°C
$21,697 ปริมาณ
No
25°C or higher
$16,148 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station—the Polymarket reference—confirm a highest temperature of 23.5°C at 15:01 UTC on April 25, 2026, locking in 100% market-implied odds for the 23°C outcome amid clear skies and high-pressure ridging. This exceeded pre-event ensemble forecasts from Météo-France projecting 20–21°C maxima, driven by abundant sunshine (over 10 hours) and light winds fostering daytime heating, consistent with the warm April trend (monthly mean 12.7°C, ranking 7th highest since 1920). Trader consensus reflects validated METAR/SYNOP data, with nearby days peaking at 22.6°C (April 24). Realistic challenges include rare data revisions post-finalization or undetected sensor anomalies, as probed in prior Paris stations, though none evident here.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 23, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$111,338วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 23, 2026, 12:11 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station—the Polymarket reference—confirm a highest temperature of 23.5°C at 15:01 UTC on April 25, 2026, locking in 100% market-implied odds for the 23°C outcome amid clear skies and high-pressure ridging. This exceeded pre-event ensemble forecasts from Météo-France projecting 20–21°C maxima, driven by abundant sunshine (over 10 hours) and light winds fostering daytime heating, consistent with the warm April trend (monthly mean 12.7°C, ranking 7th highest since 1920). Trader consensus reflects validated METAR/SYNOP data, with nearby days peaking at 22.6°C (April 24). Realistic challenges include rare data revisions post-finalization or undetected sensor anomalies, as probed in prior Paris stations, though none evident here.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$111,338วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 23, 2026, 12:11 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station—the Polymarket reference—confirm a highest temperature of 23.5°C at 15:01 UTC on April 25, 2026, locking in 100% market-implied odds for the 23°C outcome amid clear skies and high-pressure ridging. This exceeded pre-event ensemble forecasts from Météo-France projecting 20–21°C maxima, driven by abundant sunshine (over 10 hours) and light winds fostering daytime heating, consistent with the warm April trend (monthly mean 12.7°C, ranking 7th highest since 1920). Trader consensus reflects validated METAR/SYNOP data, with nearby days peaking at 22.6°C (April 24). Realistic challenges include rare data revisions post-finalization or undetected sensor anomalies, as probed in prior Paris stations, though none evident here.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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