Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport, the market's designated resolution source via Weather Underground, recorded a maximum temperature of precisely 30°C on April 17, 2026, driving the 100% implied probability on that outcome as traders await final data confirmation. Dry autumn conditions under a persistent high-pressure system suppressed cloud cover and humidity, enabling daytime heating to this level despite typical April highs averaging 25-26°C at urban stations; airport exposures often yield 2-4°C warmer readings in stable anticyclonic flow. Forecast models from INMET had projected 29-30°C peaks, aligning closely with observations. Realistic challenges would require post-finalization revisions to airport data—highly unlikely given standardized measurement protocols—or discrepancies across secondary stations, but current evidence overwhelmingly supports resolution to 30°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 17?
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$69,804 ปริมาณ
$69,804 ปริมาณ
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$69,804 ปริมาณ
$69,804 ปริมาณ
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport, the market's designated resolution source via Weather Underground, recorded a maximum temperature of precisely 30°C on April 17, 2026, driving the 100% implied probability on that outcome as traders await final data confirmation. Dry autumn conditions under a persistent high-pressure system suppressed cloud cover and humidity, enabling daytime heating to this level despite typical April highs averaging 25-26°C at urban stations; airport exposures often yield 2-4°C warmer readings in stable anticyclonic flow. Forecast models from INMET had projected 29-30°C peaks, aligning closely with observations. Realistic challenges would require post-finalization revisions to airport data—highly unlikely given standardized measurement protocols—or discrepancies across secondary stations, but current evidence overwhelmingly supports resolution to 30°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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