Official observations from Brazil's Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) confirm a maximum temperature of 30°C at key São Paulo stations on April 18, driving trader consensus to 100% market-implied probability for that outcome as the definitive resolution data. This aligns with prevailing dry autumn conditions under subtropical high pressure, where numerical weather prediction models like those from CPTEC/INPE had forecasted highs near 30°C in the days prior, with minimal convective activity to push temperatures higher. While daily maxima measurements carry high reliability from calibrated sensors, rare post hoc revisions during quality control or discrepancies across secondary stations (e.g., Congonhas vs. Guarulhos airports) could theoretically alter positioning, though no such issues have surfaced in initial reports.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 18?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 18?
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$81,319 ปริมาณ
$81,319 ปริมาณ
Apr 18, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$81,319 ปริมาณ
$81,319 ปริมาณ
Apr 18, 2026
24°C or below
$3,313 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$3,754 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$9,161 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$11,952 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$12,783 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$8,289 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$16,069 ปริมาณ
Yes
31°C
$8,589 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$2,898 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$1,795 ปริมาณ
No
34°C or higher
$2,717 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Brazil's Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) confirm a maximum temperature of 30°C at key São Paulo stations on April 18, driving trader consensus to 100% market-implied probability for that outcome as the definitive resolution data. This aligns with prevailing dry autumn conditions under subtropical high pressure, where numerical weather prediction models like those from CPTEC/INPE had forecasted highs near 30°C in the days prior, with minimal convective activity to push temperatures higher. While daily maxima measurements carry high reliability from calibrated sensors, rare post hoc revisions during quality control or discrepancies across secondary stations (e.g., Congonhas vs. Guarulhos airports) could theoretically alter positioning, though no such issues have surfaced in initial reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$81,319วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Brazil's Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) confirm a maximum temperature of 30°C at key São Paulo stations on April 18, driving trader consensus to 100% market-implied probability for that outcome as the definitive resolution data. This aligns with prevailing dry autumn conditions under subtropical high pressure, where numerical weather prediction models like those from CPTEC/INPE had forecasted highs near 30°C in the days prior, with minimal convective activity to push temperatures higher. While daily maxima measurements carry high reliability from calibrated sensors, rare post hoc revisions during quality control or discrepancies across secondary stations (e.g., Congonhas vs. Guarulhos airports) could theoretically alter positioning, though no such issues have surfaced in initial reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$81,319วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from Brazil's Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) confirm a maximum temperature of 30°C at key São Paulo stations on April 18, driving trader consensus to 100% market-implied probability for that outcome as the definitive resolution data. This aligns with prevailing dry autumn conditions under subtropical high pressure, where numerical weather prediction models like those from CPTEC/INPE had forecasted highs near 30°C in the days prior, with minimal convective activity to push temperatures higher. While daily maxima measurements carry high reliability from calibrated sensors, rare post hoc revisions during quality control or discrepancies across secondary stations (e.g., Congonhas vs. Guarulhos airports) could theoretically alter positioning, though no such issues have surfaced in initial reports.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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