Recent short-range model consensus from INMET and global ensembles indicates daytime maxima near 29–30 °C in São Paulo on August 13, driven by warm advection ahead of a weak trough and a building subtropical ridge that has replaced earlier frontal cooling. These values sit near the upper tail of August climatology, where average highs reach only 23–25 °C and readings above 28 °C occur infrequently; urban heat-island effects and modest downslope warming can add 1–2 °C locally. Trader positioning around these outcomes reflects the narrow window for further intensification before official station data finalize resolution, with limited upside risk above 31 °C given current steering patterns and dew-point profiles.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 13?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 13?
29°C 42%
30°C 27%
31°C 17%
28°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
10%
29°C
42%
30°C
27%
31°C
17%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 42%
30°C 27%
31°C 17%
28°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
24°C or below
$20 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$20 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$20 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$20 ปริมาณ
5%
28°C
$31 ปริมาณ
10%
29°C
$125 ปริมาณ
42%
30°C
$108 ปริมาณ
27%
31°C
$32 ปริมาณ
17%
32°C
$15 ปริมาณ
2%
33°C
$2 ปริมาณ
3%
34°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from INMET and global ensembles indicates daytime maxima near 29–30 °C in São Paulo on August 13, driven by warm advection ahead of a weak trough and a building subtropical ridge that has replaced earlier frontal cooling. These values sit near the upper tail of August climatology, where average highs reach only 23–25 °C and readings above 28 °C occur infrequently; urban heat-island effects and modest downslope warming can add 1–2 °C locally. Trader positioning around these outcomes reflects the narrow window for further intensification before official station data finalize resolution, with limited upside risk above 31 °C given current steering patterns and dew-point profiles.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$398วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from INMET and global ensembles indicates daytime maxima near 29–30 °C in São Paulo on August 13, driven by warm advection ahead of a weak trough and a building subtropical ridge that has replaced earlier frontal cooling. These values sit near the upper tail of August climatology, where average highs reach only 23–25 °C and readings above 28 °C occur infrequently; urban heat-island effects and modest downslope warming can add 1–2 °C locally. Trader positioning around these outcomes reflects the narrow window for further intensification before official station data finalize resolution, with limited upside risk above 31 °C given current steering patterns and dew-point profiles.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$398วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus from INMET and global ensembles indicates daytime maxima near 29–30 °C in São Paulo on August 13, driven by warm advection ahead of a weak trough and a building subtropical ridge that has replaced earlier frontal cooling. These values sit near the upper tail of August climatology, where average highs reach only 23–25 °C and readings above 28 °C occur infrequently; urban heat-island effects and modest downslope warming can add 1–2 °C locally. Trader positioning around these outcomes reflects the narrow window for further intensification before official station data finalize resolution, with limited upside risk above 31 °C given current steering patterns and dew-point profiles.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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