Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's highest temperature reached 18°C midday on May 4 amid hazy sunshine and light westerly winds that capped solar heating, aligning with high-resolution short-range model consensus projecting no further warming into the evening. Current late-afternoon readings hover at 18-19°C across official stations, with cooling trends under diminishing daylight reinforcing trader lock-in at 100% implied probability for 18°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of near-resolution data, cooler than the early-May climatological average of around 20°C due to atmospheric stability. Realistic challenges—such as abrupt clearing skies triggering a 1-2°C late heat burst—remain improbable given forecast stability, with final KMA daily maximum report expected post-midnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seoul on May 4?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 4?
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$208,827 ปริมาณ
$208,827 ปริมาณ
May 4, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$208,827 ปริมาณ
$208,827 ปริมาณ
May 4, 2026
10°C or below
$980 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$445 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$723 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$9,505 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$8,320 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$26,303 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$23,242 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$22,329 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$29,481 ปริมาณ
Yes
19°C
$32,810 ปริมาณ
No
20°C or higher
$54,689 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's highest temperature reached 18°C midday on May 4 amid hazy sunshine and light westerly winds that capped solar heating, aligning with high-resolution short-range model consensus projecting no further warming into the evening. Current late-afternoon readings hover at 18-19°C across official stations, with cooling trends under diminishing daylight reinforcing trader lock-in at 100% implied probability for 18°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of near-resolution data, cooler than the early-May climatological average of around 20°C due to atmospheric stability. Realistic challenges—such as abrupt clearing skies triggering a 1-2°C late heat burst—remain improbable given forecast stability, with final KMA daily maximum report expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$208,827วันสิ้นสุด
May 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's highest temperature reached 18°C midday on May 4 amid hazy sunshine and light westerly winds that capped solar heating, aligning with high-resolution short-range model consensus projecting no further warming into the evening. Current late-afternoon readings hover at 18-19°C across official stations, with cooling trends under diminishing daylight reinforcing trader lock-in at 100% implied probability for 18°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of near-resolution data, cooler than the early-May climatological average of around 20°C due to atmospheric stability. Realistic challenges—such as abrupt clearing skies triggering a 1-2°C late heat burst—remain improbable given forecast stability, with final KMA daily maximum report expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$208,827วันสิ้นสุด
May 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's highest temperature reached 18°C midday on May 4 amid hazy sunshine and light westerly winds that capped solar heating, aligning with high-resolution short-range model consensus projecting no further warming into the evening. Current late-afternoon readings hover at 18-19°C across official stations, with cooling trends under diminishing daylight reinforcing trader lock-in at 100% implied probability for 18°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of near-resolution data, cooler than the early-May climatological average of around 20°C due to atmospheric stability. Realistic challenges—such as abrupt clearing skies triggering a 1-2°C late heat burst—remain improbable given forecast stability, with final KMA daily maximum report expected post-midnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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