Official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada currently project a high of 32°C for Toronto on July 15 under a mix of sun and cloud, anchoring the narrow lead for that outcome in market-implied odds. Ensemble models show modest spread around this value, with potential afternoon heating limited by variable cloud cover and a low risk of scattered showers that could suppress the daily maximum. Historical July climatology places average highs near 27–28°C, so the current setup reflects above-normal warmth driven by a ridge of high pressure. Traders weigh these factors against small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects that could nudge readings to 31°C or 33°C, with new model runs and updated guidance expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Toronto on July 15?
Highest temperature in Toronto on July 15?
28°C or below 97.9%
29°C 1.9%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$84,664 ปริมาณ
$84,664 ปริมาณ
Jul 15, 2026
28°C or below
98%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
28°C or below 97.9%
29°C 1.9%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$84,664 ปริมาณ
$84,664 ปริมาณ
Jul 15, 2026
28°C or below
$17,924 ปริมาณ
98%
29°C
$13,127 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$9,791 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$8,663 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$8,879 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$7,384 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$7,782 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C
$5,732 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C
$1,071 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C
$2,823 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C or higher
$1,488 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada currently project a high of 32°C for Toronto on July 15 under a mix of sun and cloud, anchoring the narrow lead for that outcome in market-implied odds. Ensemble models show modest spread around this value, with potential afternoon heating limited by variable cloud cover and a low risk of scattered showers that could suppress the daily maximum. Historical July climatology places average highs near 27–28°C, so the current setup reflects above-normal warmth driven by a ridge of high pressure. Traders weigh these factors against small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects that could nudge readings to 31°C or 33°C, with new model runs and updated guidance expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$84,664วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada currently project a high of 32°C for Toronto on July 15 under a mix of sun and cloud, anchoring the narrow lead for that outcome in market-implied odds. Ensemble models show modest spread around this value, with potential afternoon heating limited by variable cloud cover and a low risk of scattered showers that could suppress the daily maximum. Historical July climatology places average highs near 27–28°C, so the current setup reflects above-normal warmth driven by a ridge of high pressure. Traders weigh these factors against small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects that could nudge readings to 31°C or 33°C, with new model runs and updated guidance expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$84,664วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada currently project a high of 32°C for Toronto on July 15 under a mix of sun and cloud, anchoring the narrow lead for that outcome in market-implied odds. Ensemble models show modest spread around this value, with potential afternoon heating limited by variable cloud cover and a low risk of scattered showers that could suppress the daily maximum. Historical July climatology places average highs near 27–28°C, so the current setup reflects above-normal warmth driven by a ridge of high pressure. Traders weigh these factors against small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects that could nudge readings to 31°C or 33°C, with new model runs and updated guidance expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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