Forecast consensus from multiple models points to an overnight low of 16–17°C in Ankara on September 2 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds. These conditions favor strong radiative cooling after sunset, with minimal cloud cover and low humidity allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently in the high-plateau setting. Ensemble guidance shows the minimum occurring near dawn, with slight variations in boundary-layer mixing or dew-point depression creating the narrow spread between 16°C and 17°C. Trader-implied probabilities near 50% for each reflect this tight scientific uncertainty, while lower odds for 15°C or below align with limited potential for further cooling absent a stronger high-pressure ridge or reduced wind. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Ankara on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 2?
13°C or below 98%
14°C 98%
15°C 98%
18°C 98%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
13°C or below
98%
14°C
98%
15°C
98%
16°C
51%
17°C
50%
18°C
98%
19°C
98%
20°C
13%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
1%
13°C or below 98%
14°C 98%
15°C 98%
18°C 98%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
13°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
98%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
98%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
98%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
51%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
18°C
$5 ปริมาณ
98%
19°C
$5 ปริมาณ
98%
20°C
$5 ปริมาณ
13%
21°C
$5 ปริมาณ
3%
22°C
$5 ปริมาณ
3%
23°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to an overnight low of 16–17°C in Ankara on September 2 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds. These conditions favor strong radiative cooling after sunset, with minimal cloud cover and low humidity allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently in the high-plateau setting. Ensemble guidance shows the minimum occurring near dawn, with slight variations in boundary-layer mixing or dew-point depression creating the narrow spread between 16°C and 17°C. Trader-implied probabilities near 50% for each reflect this tight scientific uncertainty, while lower odds for 15°C or below align with limited potential for further cooling absent a stronger high-pressure ridge or reduced wind. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to an overnight low of 16–17°C in Ankara on September 2 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds. These conditions favor strong radiative cooling after sunset, with minimal cloud cover and low humidity allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently in the high-plateau setting. Ensemble guidance shows the minimum occurring near dawn, with slight variations in boundary-layer mixing or dew-point depression creating the narrow spread between 16°C and 17°C. Trader-implied probabilities near 50% for each reflect this tight scientific uncertainty, while lower odds for 15°C or below align with limited potential for further cooling absent a stronger high-pressure ridge or reduced wind. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models points to an overnight low of 16–17°C in Ankara on September 2 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds. These conditions favor strong radiative cooling after sunset, with minimal cloud cover and low humidity allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently in the high-plateau setting. Ensemble guidance shows the minimum occurring near dawn, with slight variations in boundary-layer mixing or dew-point depression creating the narrow spread between 16°C and 17°C. Trader-implied probabilities near 50% for each reflect this tight scientific uncertainty, while lower odds for 15°C or below align with limited potential for further cooling absent a stronger high-pressure ridge or reduced wind. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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