Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate overnight lows for Chicago on August 26 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 60s°F, driven by a warm, moist boundary layer under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 10-15 mph that limit radiative cooling after daytime highs near 82°F. This aligns with late-August climatology (average low ~65°F) and recent model runs showing minimal overnight drops amid lingering southerly flow ahead of a weak front. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 66-69°F ranges because traders weigh these stable conditions against potential forecast revisions from new 00Z or 12Z runs, while historical variability and lake-effect moderation near Lake Michigan introduce modest uncertainty for the exact minimum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Chicago on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on August 26?
58-59°F 42%
66-67°F 38%
68-69°F 32%
64-65°F 28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
4%
58-59°F
42%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
23%
64-65°F
28%
66-67°F
38%
68-69°F
32%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
2%
74°F or higher
19%
58-59°F 42%
66-67°F 38%
68-69°F 32%
64-65°F 28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
55°F or below
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
56-57°F
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
58-59°F
$5 ปริมาณ
42%
60-61°F
$80 ปริมาณ
7%
62-63°F
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
64-65°F
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
66-67°F
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
68-69°F
$0 ปริมาณ
32%
70-71°F
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
72-73°F
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
74°F or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate overnight lows for Chicago on August 26 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 60s°F, driven by a warm, moist boundary layer under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 10-15 mph that limit radiative cooling after daytime highs near 82°F. This aligns with late-August climatology (average low ~65°F) and recent model runs showing minimal overnight drops amid lingering southerly flow ahead of a weak front. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 66-69°F ranges because traders weigh these stable conditions against potential forecast revisions from new 00Z or 12Z runs, while historical variability and lake-effect moderation near Lake Michigan introduce modest uncertainty for the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$105วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate overnight lows for Chicago on August 26 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 60s°F, driven by a warm, moist boundary layer under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 10-15 mph that limit radiative cooling after daytime highs near 82°F. This aligns with late-August climatology (average low ~65°F) and recent model runs showing minimal overnight drops amid lingering southerly flow ahead of a weak front. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 66-69°F ranges because traders weigh these stable conditions against potential forecast revisions from new 00Z or 12Z runs, while historical variability and lake-effect moderation near Lake Michigan introduce modest uncertainty for the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$105วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate overnight lows for Chicago on August 26 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 60s°F, driven by a warm, moist boundary layer under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 10-15 mph that limit radiative cooling after daytime highs near 82°F. This aligns with late-August climatology (average low ~65°F) and recent model runs showing minimal overnight drops amid lingering southerly flow ahead of a weak front. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 66-69°F ranges because traders weigh these stable conditions against potential forecast revisions from new 00Z or 12Z runs, while historical variability and lake-effect moderation near Lake Michigan introduce modest uncertainty for the exact minimum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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