Forecasts for Guangzhou on September 21 point to overnight lows near 26–28°C amid a weakening subtropical high, increasing thunderstorm activity, and elevated humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent warmth from the prior heatwave, combined with cloud cover and light winds, supports trader focus on the 25–26°C outcomes, while convective outflows or localized downbursts introduce downside risk reflected in elevated probabilities for 20°C or below. Historical September 21 averages near 23.7°C provide context, but current model consensus favors milder minima than climatology due to ongoing southerly flow. Updated regional forecasts and real-time observations will clarify exact thresholds before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 21?
24°C 95%
20°C or below 90%
23°C 90%
25°C 50%
20°C or below
90%
21°C
18%
22°C
18%
23°C
90%
24°C
95%
25°C
50%
26°C
50%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 95%
20°C or below 90%
23°C 90%
25°C 50%
20°C or below
90%
21°C
18%
22°C
18%
23°C
90%
24°C
95%
25°C
50%
26°C
50%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts for Guangzhou on September 21 point to overnight lows near 26–28°C amid a weakening subtropical high, increasing thunderstorm activity, and elevated humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent warmth from the prior heatwave, combined with cloud cover and light winds, supports trader focus on the 25–26°C outcomes, while convective outflows or localized downbursts introduce downside risk reflected in elevated probabilities for 20°C or below. Historical September 21 averages near 23.7°C provide context, but current model consensus favors milder minima than climatology due to ongoing southerly flow. Updated regional forecasts and real-time observations will clarify exact thresholds before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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