Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the lowest temperature on May 4, 2026, hit 21°C at the reference station in King's Park, recorded via standardized maximum-minimum thermometers under mainly cloudy skies and light easterly winds that limited nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with HKO's pre-event 9-day forecast projecting a 21°C minimum amid normal to above-normal seasonal temperatures for May, where historical averages hover around 24°C but recent trough passages allowed a modest dip. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified data from official monitoring, embodying skin-in-the-game alignment with meteorological ground truth. Realistic challenges include a post-audit discovery of a lower reading from a secondary station or rare equipment recalibration, though HKO's rigorous quality controls make such revisions exceedingly unlikely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 4?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 4?
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$13,640 ปริมาณ
$13,640 ปริมาณ
May 4, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$13,640 ปริมาณ
$13,640 ปริมาณ
May 4, 2026
15°C or below
$530 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$613 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$592 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$1,547 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$1,088 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$1,957 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$2,273 ปริมาณ
Yes
22°C
$2,185 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$1,569 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$815 ปริมาณ
No
25°C or higher
$472 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the lowest temperature on May 4, 2026, hit 21°C at the reference station in King's Park, recorded via standardized maximum-minimum thermometers under mainly cloudy skies and light easterly winds that limited nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with HKO's pre-event 9-day forecast projecting a 21°C minimum amid normal to above-normal seasonal temperatures for May, where historical averages hover around 24°C but recent trough passages allowed a modest dip. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified data from official monitoring, embodying skin-in-the-game alignment with meteorological ground truth. Realistic challenges include a post-audit discovery of a lower reading from a secondary station or rare equipment recalibration, though HKO's rigorous quality controls make such revisions exceedingly unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,640วันสิ้นสุด
May 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the lowest temperature on May 4, 2026, hit 21°C at the reference station in King's Park, recorded via standardized maximum-minimum thermometers under mainly cloudy skies and light easterly winds that limited nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with HKO's pre-event 9-day forecast projecting a 21°C minimum amid normal to above-normal seasonal temperatures for May, where historical averages hover around 24°C but recent trough passages allowed a modest dip. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified data from official monitoring, embodying skin-in-the-game alignment with meteorological ground truth. Realistic challenges include a post-audit discovery of a lower reading from a secondary station or rare equipment recalibration, though HKO's rigorous quality controls make such revisions exceedingly unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,640วันสิ้นสุด
May 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the lowest temperature on May 4, 2026, hit 21°C at the reference station in King's Park, recorded via standardized maximum-minimum thermometers under mainly cloudy skies and light easterly winds that limited nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with HKO's pre-event 9-day forecast projecting a 21°C minimum amid normal to above-normal seasonal temperatures for May, where historical averages hover around 24°C but recent trough passages allowed a modest dip. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified data from official monitoring, embodying skin-in-the-game alignment with meteorological ground truth. Realistic challenges include a post-audit discovery of a lower reading from a secondary station or rare equipment recalibration, though HKO's rigorous quality controls make such revisions exceedingly unlikely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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