Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature in Istanbul on September 21 near 18–19°C, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure system. This range sits between the closely matched 15°C-or-below and 25°C-or-higher market options, reflecting trader assessment of typical September nocturnal cooling moderated by the Sea of Marmara. Key variables include minimal expected cloud cover, which could allow slightly lower readings if winds remain calm, versus any late-day marine influence or model spread that might push the low above 20°C. Historical September minima average near 17°C, providing context for the current consensus around 19°C. Updated runs overnight will refine resolution criteria for these temperature thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 21?
15°C or below 100%
25°C or higher 98%
16°C 40%
17°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 21, 2026
15°C or below
100%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
19%
23°C
18%
24°C
18%
25°C or higher
98%
15°C or below 100%
25°C or higher 98%
16°C 40%
17°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 21, 2026
15°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
100%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
25°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature in Istanbul on September 21 near 18–19°C, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure system. This range sits between the closely matched 15°C-or-below and 25°C-or-higher market options, reflecting trader assessment of typical September nocturnal cooling moderated by the Sea of Marmara. Key variables include minimal expected cloud cover, which could allow slightly lower readings if winds remain calm, versus any late-day marine influence or model spread that might push the low above 20°C. Historical September minima average near 17°C, providing context for the current consensus around 19°C. Updated runs overnight will refine resolution criteria for these temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature in Istanbul on September 21 near 18–19°C, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure system. This range sits between the closely matched 15°C-or-below and 25°C-or-higher market options, reflecting trader assessment of typical September nocturnal cooling moderated by the Sea of Marmara. Key variables include minimal expected cloud cover, which could allow slightly lower readings if winds remain calm, versus any late-day marine influence or model spread that might push the low above 20°C. Historical September minima average near 17°C, providing context for the current consensus around 19°C. Updated runs overnight will refine resolution criteria for these temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature in Istanbul on September 21 near 18–19°C, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure system. This range sits between the closely matched 15°C-or-below and 25°C-or-higher market options, reflecting trader assessment of typical September nocturnal cooling moderated by the Sea of Marmara. Key variables include minimal expected cloud cover, which could allow slightly lower readings if winds remain calm, versus any late-day marine influence or model spread that might push the low above 20°C. Historical September minima average near 17°C, providing context for the current consensus around 19°C. Updated runs overnight will refine resolution criteria for these temperature thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย