**Trader sentiment for Manila’s lowest temperature on August 27, 2026, clusters tightly around 25–27 °C because official forecasts from PAGASA place the expected overnight minimum near 26 °C amid ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) influence.** PAGASA’s latest outlook lists a 26–29 °C range for the day, consistent with the broader August climatology of 24–27 °C nighttime lows. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms limit radiative cooling after sunset, while light to moderate winds from the southwest help mix the boundary layer and prevent sharper drops. Model runs and ensemble spreads show small differences in timing and coverage of convection, which can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila add further variability depending on exact station location and wind direction. With resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum reported by official observations, traders weigh these atmospheric factors—monsoon moisture, cloud persistence, and steering flow—against historical analogs that rarely fall below 24 °C or exceed 27 °C in late August.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Manila on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 27?
24°C 48%
28°C 48%
29°C 48%
23°C 44%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
3%
22°C
12%
23°C
44%
24°C
48%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
48%
29°C
48%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
29%
24°C 48%
28°C 48%
29°C 48%
23°C 44%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Manila’s lowest temperature on August 27, 2026, clusters tightly around 25–27 °C because official forecasts from PAGASA place the expected overnight minimum near 26 °C amid ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) influence.**
PAGASA’s latest outlook lists a 26–29 °C range for the day, consistent with the broader August climatology of 24–27 °C nighttime lows. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms limit radiative cooling after sunset, while light to moderate winds from the southwest help mix the boundary layer and prevent sharper drops.
Model runs and ensemble spreads show small differences in timing and coverage of convection, which can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila add further variability depending on exact station location and wind direction. With resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum reported by official observations, traders weigh these atmospheric factors—monsoon moisture, cloud persistence, and steering flow—against historical analogs that rarely fall below 24 °C or exceed 27 °C in late August.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 25, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Manila’s lowest temperature on August 27, 2026, clusters tightly around 25–27 °C because official forecasts from PAGASA place the expected overnight minimum near 26 °C amid ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) influence.**
PAGASA’s latest outlook lists a 26–29 °C range for the day, consistent with the broader August climatology of 24–27 °C nighttime lows. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms limit radiative cooling after sunset, while light to moderate winds from the southwest help mix the boundary layer and prevent sharper drops.
Model runs and ensemble spreads show small differences in timing and coverage of convection, which can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila add further variability depending on exact station location and wind direction. With resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum reported by official observations, traders weigh these atmospheric factors—monsoon moisture, cloud persistence, and steering flow—against historical analogs that rarely fall below 24 °C or exceed 27 °C in late August.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Manila’s lowest temperature on August 27, 2026, clusters tightly around 25–27 °C because official forecasts from PAGASA place the expected overnight minimum near 26 °C amid ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) influence.** PAGASA’s latest outlook lists a 26–29 °C range for the day, consistent with the broader August climatology of 24–27 °C nighttime lows. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms limit radiative cooling after sunset, while light to moderate winds from the southwest help mix the boundary layer and prevent sharper drops. Model runs and ensemble spreads show small differences in timing and coverage of convection, which can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila add further variability depending on exact station location and wind direction. With resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum reported by official observations, traders weigh these atmospheric factors—monsoon moisture, cloud persistence, and steering flow—against historical analogs that rarely fall below 24 °C or exceed 27 °C in late August.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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