National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the lowest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 71°F around 6 AM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 70-71°F outcome. This aligns with NOAA ensemble forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which projected overnight lows in the low 70s amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 5-10 mph, and limited radiative cooling that prevented deeper drops below climatological May 4 norms of 72°F. Historical data shows early-May lows rarely dip below 70°F without clear skies and calm winds; a data revision from official METAR reports would be needed to challenge this positioning, though such corrections are rare post-validation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Miami on May 4?
Lowest temperature in Miami on May 4?
70-71°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$20,854 ปริมาณ
$20,854 ปริมาณ
May 4, 2026
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$20,854 ปริมาณ
$20,854 ปริมาณ
May 4, 2026
67°F or below
$1,443 ปริมาณ
No
68-69°F
$1,035 ปริมาณ
No
70-71°F
$1,437 ปริมาณ
Yes
72-73°F
$863 ปริมาณ
No
74-75°F
$896 ปริมาณ
No
76-77°F
$558 ปริมาณ
No
78-79°F
$2,742 ปริมาณ
No
80-81°F
$1,317 ปริมาณ
No
82-83°F
$1,767 ปริมาณ
No
84-85°F
$8,373 ปริมาณ
No
86°F or higher
$423 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the lowest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 71°F around 6 AM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 70-71°F outcome. This aligns with NOAA ensemble forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which projected overnight lows in the low 70s amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 5-10 mph, and limited radiative cooling that prevented deeper drops below climatological May 4 norms of 72°F. Historical data shows early-May lows rarely dip below 70°F without clear skies and calm winds; a data revision from official METAR reports would be needed to challenge this positioning, though such corrections are rare post-validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,854วันสิ้นสุด
May 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the lowest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 71°F around 6 AM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 70-71°F outcome. This aligns with NOAA ensemble forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which projected overnight lows in the low 70s amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 5-10 mph, and limited radiative cooling that prevented deeper drops below climatological May 4 norms of 72°F. Historical data shows early-May lows rarely dip below 70°F without clear skies and calm winds; a data revision from official METAR reports would be needed to challenge this positioning, though such corrections are rare post-validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,854วันสิ้นสุด
May 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the lowest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 71°F around 6 AM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 70-71°F outcome. This aligns with NOAA ensemble forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which projected overnight lows in the low 70s amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 5-10 mph, and limited radiative cooling that prevented deeper drops below climatological May 4 norms of 72°F. Historical data shows early-May lows rarely dip below 70°F without clear skies and calm winds; a data revision from official METAR reports would be needed to challenge this positioning, though such corrections are rare post-validation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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