**Forecasts for Munich on August 25, 2026, point to a minimum temperature most likely in the 12–14°C range, with current model guidance from sources like BBC Weather and TimeandDate showing a low around 12–13°C under light winds and variable cloud cover.** The closely matched market probabilities—roughly 47–49.5% for the extreme tails (≤8°C or ≥18°C) versus ~26–27% for mid-range values like 11–14°C—reflect genuine short-range forecast uncertainty typical 48 hours ahead. Overnight minima depend heavily on factors such as cloud cover (which traps heat and limits radiative cooling), wind speed (calm conditions favor colder readings), humidity, and any passing fronts or showers that could alter the boundary layer. Recent developments show a moderating trend after warmer late-August days, with highs near 23–25°C and increasing overcast conditions or light rain expected to influence the night of the 24th–25th. Historical August climatology for Munich places average lows near 13–14°C, providing context for why traders see value across a spread of outcomes. New high-resolution model runs from agencies like the German Weather Service (DWD) or ECMWF, along with updated observations on cloud trends, will likely sharpen the picture before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Munich on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 25?
18°C or higher 93%
8°C or below 90%
17°C 41%
11°C 28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
8°C or below
90%
9°C
21%
10°C
21%
11°C
28%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
2%
17°C
41%
18°C or higher
93%
18°C or higher 93%
8°C or below 90%
17°C 41%
11°C 28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
8°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
90%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
16°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
17°C
$5 ปริมาณ
41%
18°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts for Munich on August 25, 2026, point to a minimum temperature most likely in the 12–14°C range, with current model guidance from sources like BBC Weather and TimeandDate showing a low around 12–13°C under light winds and variable cloud cover.**
The closely matched market probabilities—roughly 47–49.5% for the extreme tails (≤8°C or ≥18°C) versus ~26–27% for mid-range values like 11–14°C—reflect genuine short-range forecast uncertainty typical 48 hours ahead. Overnight minima depend heavily on factors such as cloud cover (which traps heat and limits radiative cooling), wind speed (calm conditions favor colder readings), humidity, and any passing fronts or showers that could alter the boundary layer.
Recent developments show a moderating trend after warmer late-August days, with highs near 23–25°C and increasing overcast conditions or light rain expected to influence the night of the 24th–25th. Historical August climatology for Munich places average lows near 13–14°C, providing context for why traders see value across a spread of outcomes.
New high-resolution model runs from agencies like the German Weather Service (DWD) or ECMWF, along with updated observations on cloud trends, will likely sharpen the picture before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts for Munich on August 25, 2026, point to a minimum temperature most likely in the 12–14°C range, with current model guidance from sources like BBC Weather and TimeandDate showing a low around 12–13°C under light winds and variable cloud cover.**
The closely matched market probabilities—roughly 47–49.5% for the extreme tails (≤8°C or ≥18°C) versus ~26–27% for mid-range values like 11–14°C—reflect genuine short-range forecast uncertainty typical 48 hours ahead. Overnight minima depend heavily on factors such as cloud cover (which traps heat and limits radiative cooling), wind speed (calm conditions favor colder readings), humidity, and any passing fronts or showers that could alter the boundary layer.
Recent developments show a moderating trend after warmer late-August days, with highs near 23–25°C and increasing overcast conditions or light rain expected to influence the night of the 24th–25th. Historical August climatology for Munich places average lows near 13–14°C, providing context for why traders see value across a spread of outcomes.
New high-resolution model runs from agencies like the German Weather Service (DWD) or ECMWF, along with updated observations on cloud trends, will likely sharpen the picture before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts for Munich on August 25, 2026, point to a minimum temperature most likely in the 12–14°C range, with current model guidance from sources like BBC Weather and TimeandDate showing a low around 12–13°C under light winds and variable cloud cover.** The closely matched market probabilities—roughly 47–49.5% for the extreme tails (≤8°C or ≥18°C) versus ~26–27% for mid-range values like 11–14°C—reflect genuine short-range forecast uncertainty typical 48 hours ahead. Overnight minima depend heavily on factors such as cloud cover (which traps heat and limits radiative cooling), wind speed (calm conditions favor colder readings), humidity, and any passing fronts or showers that could alter the boundary layer. Recent developments show a moderating trend after warmer late-August days, with highs near 23–25°C and increasing overcast conditions or light rain expected to influence the night of the 24th–25th. Historical August climatology for Munich places average lows near 13–14°C, providing context for why traders see value across a spread of outcomes. New high-resolution model runs from agencies like the German Weather Service (DWD) or ECMWF, along with updated observations on cloud trends, will likely sharpen the picture before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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