Persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover are sustaining hot, humid conditions across central China, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 27–29°C for Wuhan's August 27 overnight low. Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF show light easterly flow and dew points near 24–26°C limiting radiative cooling, keeping minima near 28°C, while slight variations in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any thin cloud produce the tight spread across 25–29°C outcomes. Stable high temperatures through the prior week and absence of frontal systems reinforce trader consensus on these thresholds, with new forecast updates expected to refine cooling potential ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 27?
25°C 47%
26°C 47%
27°C 26%
28°C 26%
24°C or below
17%
25°C
47%
26°C
47%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
24%
30°C
2%
31°C
20%
32°C
8%
33°C
16%
34°C or higher
8%
25°C 47%
26°C 47%
27°C 26%
28°C 26%
24°C or below
17%
25°C
47%
26°C
47%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
24%
30°C
2%
31°C
20%
32°C
8%
33°C
16%
34°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover are sustaining hot, humid conditions across central China, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 27–29°C for Wuhan's August 27 overnight low. Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF show light easterly flow and dew points near 24–26°C limiting radiative cooling, keeping minima near 28°C, while slight variations in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any thin cloud produce the tight spread across 25–29°C outcomes. Stable high temperatures through the prior week and absence of frontal systems reinforce trader consensus on these thresholds, with new forecast updates expected to refine cooling potential ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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