Incumbent Democrat Don Davis faces Republican Laurie Buckhout in a November 2026 rematch for North Carolina’s 1st congressional district, where recent map changes have shifted the seat several points toward Republicans. Davis secured the Democratic nomination without opposition after the March primary cycle, while Buckhout prevailed narrowly among GOP contenders. A late-April survey showed the race essentially tied. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 61 percent implied probability of holding the seat, reflecting the incumbent’s established base and early positioning ahead of national midterm dynamics, even as the adjusted boundaries introduce structural headwinds typical of competitive House districts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNC-01 House Election Winner
NC-01 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
65%
Republican Party
47%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$92 ปริมาณ
65%
Republican Party
$556 ปริมาณ
47%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Don Davis faces Republican Laurie Buckhout in a November 2026 rematch for North Carolina’s 1st congressional district, where recent map changes have shifted the seat several points toward Republicans. Davis secured the Democratic nomination without opposition after the March primary cycle, while Buckhout prevailed narrowly among GOP contenders. A late-April survey showed the race essentially tied. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 61 percent implied probability of holding the seat, reflecting the incumbent’s established base and early positioning ahead of national midterm dynamics, even as the adjusted boundaries introduce structural headwinds typical of competitive House districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$647วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Don Davis faces Republican Laurie Buckhout in a November 2026 rematch for North Carolina’s 1st congressional district, where recent map changes have shifted the seat several points toward Republicans. Davis secured the Democratic nomination without opposition after the March primary cycle, while Buckhout prevailed narrowly among GOP contenders. A late-April survey showed the race essentially tied. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 61 percent implied probability of holding the seat, reflecting the incumbent’s established base and early positioning ahead of national midterm dynamics, even as the adjusted boundaries introduce structural headwinds typical of competitive House districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$647วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Don Davis faces Republican Laurie Buckhout in a November 2026 rematch for North Carolina’s 1st congressional district, where recent map changes have shifted the seat several points toward Republicans. Davis secured the Democratic nomination without opposition after the March primary cycle, while Buckhout prevailed narrowly among GOP contenders. A late-April survey showed the race essentially tied. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 61 percent implied probability of holding the seat, reflecting the incumbent’s established base and early positioning ahead of national midterm dynamics, even as the adjusted boundaries introduce structural headwinds typical of competitive House districts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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