Anthropic’s September 22 announcement of Claude Opus 5.5 explicitly stated that Sonnet 5.5 and Haiku 5.5 would follow “in the coming weeks,” establishing the primary catalyst for current trader sentiment around an early-to-mid October window. This follows the rapid cadence of the 5.x series, with Sonnet 5 shipping June 30 and Fable 5.1 arriving September 1, while the company continues iterating on agentic capabilities, tool use, and cost efficiency to maintain competitive positioning against other large language model developers. The diffuse probabilities reflect uncertainty over exact internal timelines, typical slippage in model training and safety evaluations, and absence of further dated signals, though any additional roadmap updates or benchmark leaks could quickly shift the closely contested near-term dates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOn or prior to September 24 24%
September 30 14%
October 6 14%
October 7 14%
On or prior to September 24
24%
September 25
14%
September 26
14%
September 27
14%
September 28
14%
September 29
14%
September 30
14%
October 1
13%
October 2
13%
October 3
13%
October 4
14%
October 5
14%
October 6
14%
October 7
14%
October 8
14%
October 9
14%
October 10
14%
October 11
14%
October 12
14%
October 13
14%
October 14
14%
October 15
14%
No release by October 15
14%
On or prior to September 24 24%
September 30 14%
October 6 14%
October 7 14%
On or prior to September 24
24%
September 25
14%
September 26
14%
September 27
14%
September 28
14%
September 29
14%
September 30
14%
October 1
13%
October 2
13%
October 3
13%
October 4
14%
October 5
14%
October 6
14%
October 7
14%
October 8
14%
October 9
14%
October 10
14%
October 11
14%
October 12
14%
October 13
14%
October 14
14%
October 15
14%
No release by October 15
14%
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 24, 2026, 3:31 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...Anthropic’s September 22 announcement of Claude Opus 5.5 explicitly stated that Sonnet 5.5 and Haiku 5.5 would follow “in the coming weeks,” establishing the primary catalyst for current trader sentiment around an early-to-mid October window. This follows the rapid cadence of the 5.x series, with Sonnet 5 shipping June 30 and Fable 5.1 arriving September 1, while the company continues iterating on agentic capabilities, tool use, and cost efficiency to maintain competitive positioning against other large language model developers. The diffuse probabilities reflect uncertainty over exact internal timelines, typical slippage in model training and safety evaluations, and absence of further dated signals, though any additional roadmap updates or benchmark leaks could quickly shift the closely contested near-term dates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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