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หากต้องการเทรดในสหรัฐฯ ไปที่ polymarket.us

icon for Next Claude Sonnet released on...?

Next Claude Sonnet released on...?

icon for Next Claude Sonnet released on...?

Next Claude Sonnet released on...?

On or prior to September 24 24%

September 30 14%

October 6 14%

October 7 14%

Polymarket
ใหม่

On or prior to September 24 24%

September 30 14%

October 6 14%

October 7 14%

Polymarket
ใหม่

On or prior to September 24

$0 ปริมาณ

24%

September 25

$0 ปริมาณ

14%

September 26

$0 ปริมาณ

14%

September 27

$0 ปริมาณ

14%

September 28

$0 ปริมาณ

14%

September 29

$0 ปริมาณ

14%

September 30

$0 ปริมาณ

14%

October 1

$0 ปริมาณ

13%

October 2

$0 ปริมาณ

13%

October 3

$0 ปริมาณ

13%

October 4

$0 ปริมาณ

14%

October 5

$0 ปริมาณ

14%

October 6

$0 ปริมาณ

14%

October 7

$0 ปริมาณ

14%

October 8

$0 ปริมาณ

14%

October 9

$0 ปริมาณ

14%

October 10

$0 ปริมาณ

14%

October 11

$0 ปริมาณ

14%

October 12

$0 ปริมาณ

14%

October 13

$0 ปริมาณ

14%

October 14

$0 ปริมาณ

14%

October 15

$0 ปริมาณ

14%

No release by October 15

$0 ปริมาณ

14%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public. Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s September 22 announcement of Claude Opus 5.5 explicitly stated that Sonnet 5.5 and Haiku 5.5 would follow “in the coming weeks,” establishing the primary catalyst for current trader sentiment around an early-to-mid October window. This follows the rapid cadence of the 5.x series, with Sonnet 5 shipping June 30 and Fable 5.1 arriving September 1, while the company continues iterating on agentic capabilities, tool use, and cost efficiency to maintain competitive positioning against other large language model developers. The diffuse probabilities reflect uncertainty over exact internal timelines, typical slippage in model training and safety evaluations, and absence of further dated signals, though any additional roadmap updates or benchmark leaks could quickly shift the closely contested near-term dates.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.

Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public. Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0
วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 16, 2026
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 24, 2026, 3:31 AM ET

ผู้ตัดสินผล

0x69c47de9d...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public. Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s September 22 announcement of Claude Opus 5.5 explicitly stated that Sonnet 5.5 and Haiku 5.5 would follow “in the coming weeks,” establishing the primary catalyst for current trader sentiment around an early-to-mid October window. This follows the rapid cadence of the 5.x series, with Sonnet 5 shipping June 30 and Fable 5.1 arriving September 1, while the company continues iterating on agentic capabilities, tool use, and cost efficiency to maintain competitive positioning against other large language model developers. The diffuse probabilities reflect uncertainty over exact internal timelines, typical slippage in model training and safety evaluations, and absence of further dated signals, though any additional roadmap updates or benchmark leaks could quickly shift the closely contested near-term dates.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.

Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public. Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0
วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 16, 2026
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 24, 2026, 3:31 AM ET

ผู้ตัดสินผล

0x69c47de9d...

ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก

คำถามที่พบบ่อย

"Next Claude Sonnet released on...?" เป็นตลาดทำนายผลบน Polymarket ที่มี 23 ผลลัพธ์ที่เป็นไปได้ โดยนักเทรดซื้อและขายหุ้นตามสิ่งที่เชื่อว่าจะเกิดขึ้น ผลลัพธ์ที่นำอยู่ในปัจจุบันคือ "On or prior to September 24" ที่ 45% ตามด้วย "September 30" ที่ 26% ราคาสะท้อนความน่าจะเป็นจากฝูงชนแบบเรียลไทม์ ตัวอย่างเช่น หุ้นที่มีราคา 45¢ หมายความว่าตลาดให้โอกาส 45% กับผลลัพธ์นั้น อัตราเหล่านี้เปลี่ยนแปลงตลอดเวลาตามที่นักเทรดตอบสนองต่อข้อมูลและพัฒนาการใหม่ หุ้นในผลลัพธ์ที่ถูกต้องสามารถแลกได้ $1 ต่อหุ้นเมื่อตลาดตัดสินผล

"Next Claude Sonnet released on...?" เป็นตลาดที่เพิ่งสร้างใหม่บน Polymarket เปิดเมื่อ Sep 24, 2026 ในฐานะตลาดใหม่ นี่คือโอกาสของคุณที่จะเป็นหนึ่งในนักเทรดกลุ่มแรกที่ตั้งอัตราและสร้างสัญญาณราคาเริ่มต้น คุณยังสามารถบุ๊กมาร์กหน้านี้เพื่อติดตามปริมาณและกิจกรรมการซื้อขายเมื่อตลาดเริ่มคึกคัก

ในการเทรด "Next Claude Sonnet released on...?" ดู 23 ผลลัพธ์ที่มีในหน้านี้ แต่ละผลลัพธ์แสดงราคาปัจจุบันที่เป็นตัวแทนความน่าจะเป็นโดยนัยของตลาด เลือกผลลัพธ์ที่คุณเชื่อว่ามีโอกาสสูงสุด เลือก "Yes" เพื่อเทรดสนับสนุนหรือ "No" เพื่อเทรดคัดค้าน ใส่จำนวนเงินแล้วกด "Trade" ถ้าผลลัพธ์ที่คุณเลือกถูกต้องเมื่อตลาดตัดสินผล หุ้น "Yes" ของคุณจ่าย $1 ต่อหุ้น ถ้าไม่ถูกต้อง จ่าย $0 คุณยังสามารถขายหุ้นได้ตลอดเวลาก่อนการตัดสินผลหากต้องการล็อกกำไรหรือตัดขาดทุน

ตลาดนี้เพิ่งสร้างและยังไม่ได้รับการเทรดครั้งแรก เป็นคนแรกที่ตั้งอัตราเปิดโดยทำการเทรด หรือบุ๊กมาร์กหน้านี้เพื่อกลับมาดูเมื่อตลาดเริ่มเคลื่อนไหว

กฎการตัดสินผลของ "Next Claude Sonnet released on...?" กำหนดอย่างชัดเจนว่าต้องเกิดอะไรขึ้นเพื่อให้แต่ละผลลัพธ์ถูกประกาศเป็นผู้ชนะ รวมถึงแหล่งข้อมูลอย่างเป็นทางการที่ใช้ตัดสินผล คุณสามารถตรวจสอบเกณฑ์การตัดสินผลทั้งหมดได้ในส่วน "กฎ" บนหน้านี้เหนือความคิดเห็น เราแนะนำให้อ่านกฎอย่างละเอียดก่อนเทรด เพราะกฎระบุเงื่อนไขเฉพาะ กรณีพิเศษ และแหล่งข้อมูลที่ควบคุมการตัดสินตลาดนี้