Incumbent Sen. Bill Hagerty's unopposed position in the August 6 Republican primary, bolstered by $14 million in fundraising and $5.6 million cash on hand as of late March, drives trader consensus to price a Republican Senate victory in Tennessee at 91.5%, underscoring the state's entrenched GOP dominance with no Democratic win since 1994 and consistent "Solid Republican" ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The March 10 filing deadline confirmed a fragmented Democratic primary field led by Marquita Bradshaw and Maria Brewer, lacking competitive threat amid historical base rates favoring incumbents in deep-red battlegrounds. While scandals, health issues, or a national Democratic wave could theoretically shift odds before the November 3 general election, such disruptions remain improbable given current dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTennessee Senate Election Winner
Tennessee Senate Election Winner
$15,728 ปริมาณ
$15,728 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
92%
Democrat
9%
$15,728 ปริมาณ
$15,728 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$8,822 ปริมาณ
92%
Democrat
$6,907 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Bill Hagerty's unopposed position in the August 6 Republican primary, bolstered by $14 million in fundraising and $5.6 million cash on hand as of late March, drives trader consensus to price a Republican Senate victory in Tennessee at 91.5%, underscoring the state's entrenched GOP dominance with no Democratic win since 1994 and consistent "Solid Republican" ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The March 10 filing deadline confirmed a fragmented Democratic primary field led by Marquita Bradshaw and Maria Brewer, lacking competitive threat amid historical base rates favoring incumbents in deep-red battlegrounds. While scandals, health issues, or a national Democratic wave could theoretically shift odds before the November 3 general election, such disruptions remain improbable given current dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,728วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Bill Hagerty's unopposed position in the August 6 Republican primary, bolstered by $14 million in fundraising and $5.6 million cash on hand as of late March, drives trader consensus to price a Republican Senate victory in Tennessee at 91.5%, underscoring the state's entrenched GOP dominance with no Democratic win since 1994 and consistent "Solid Republican" ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The March 10 filing deadline confirmed a fragmented Democratic primary field led by Marquita Bradshaw and Maria Brewer, lacking competitive threat amid historical base rates favoring incumbents in deep-red battlegrounds. While scandals, health issues, or a national Democratic wave could theoretically shift odds before the November 3 general election, such disruptions remain improbable given current dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,728วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Bill Hagerty's unopposed position in the August 6 Republican primary, bolstered by $14 million in fundraising and $5.6 million cash on hand as of late March, drives trader consensus to price a Republican Senate victory in Tennessee at 91.5%, underscoring the state's entrenched GOP dominance with no Democratic win since 1994 and consistent "Solid Republican" ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The March 10 filing deadline confirmed a fragmented Democratic primary field led by Marquita Bradshaw and Maria Brewer, lacking competitive threat amid historical base rates favoring incumbents in deep-red battlegrounds. While scandals, health issues, or a national Democratic wave could theoretically shift odds before the November 3 general election, such disruptions remain improbable given current dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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