The July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act raised the statutory debt ceiling by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion, creating substantial borrowing headroom that forecasters project will delay the next potential X-date until mid-to-late 2027. Congress has modified or suspended the limit more than 100 times historically to avert payment disruptions, and current debt levels remain well below the cap. Traders' strong consensus against default by 2027 reflects this recent buffer and the institutional pattern of timely legislative action on appropriations and debt authorization. The next ceiling debate could emerge in 2027, but prior resolutions demonstrate consistent prioritization of avoiding any lapse in Treasury obligations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUS defaults on debt by 2027?
US defaults on debt by 2027?
$15,070 ปริมาณ
$15,070 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$15,070 ปริมาณ
$15,070 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.The July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act raised the statutory debt ceiling by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion, creating substantial borrowing headroom that forecasters project will delay the next potential X-date until mid-to-late 2027. Congress has modified or suspended the limit more than 100 times historically to avert payment disruptions, and current debt levels remain well below the cap. Traders' strong consensus against default by 2027 reflects this recent buffer and the institutional pattern of timely legislative action on appropriations and debt authorization. The next ceiling debate could emerge in 2027, but prior resolutions demonstrate consistent prioritization of avoiding any lapse in Treasury obligations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,070วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.The July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act raised the statutory debt ceiling by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion, creating substantial borrowing headroom that forecasters project will delay the next potential X-date until mid-to-late 2027. Congress has modified or suspended the limit more than 100 times historically to avert payment disruptions, and current debt levels remain well below the cap. Traders' strong consensus against default by 2027 reflects this recent buffer and the institutional pattern of timely legislative action on appropriations and debt authorization. The next ceiling debate could emerge in 2027, but prior resolutions demonstrate consistent prioritization of avoiding any lapse in Treasury obligations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,070วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act raised the statutory debt ceiling by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion, creating substantial borrowing headroom that forecasters project will delay the next potential X-date until mid-to-late 2027. Congress has modified or suspended the limit more than 100 times historically to avert payment disruptions, and current debt levels remain well below the cap. Traders' strong consensus against default by 2027 reflects this recent buffer and the institutional pattern of timely legislative action on appropriations and debt authorization. The next ceiling debate could emerge in 2027, but prior resolutions demonstrate consistent prioritization of avoiding any lapse in Treasury obligations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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