Recent polling across multiple firms shows consistent majorities of 60-74% of Albertans favoring the province remaining in Canada on the October 19, 2026 non-binding referendum question, with only 19-33% supporting the start of a legal process toward a binding independence vote. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has publicly stated her preference for staying within Confederation, while a May 2026 court ruling struck down a citizen petition for a direct separation referendum over inadequate consultation with First Nations on treaty rights. Support for actual independence remains a minority position around 18-25%, stable or slightly declining amid ongoing federal-provincial tensions but without evidence of a surge in backing. These factors underpin the strong trader consensus against Alberta advancing toward a 2026 independence vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว6% โอกาส
$271,862 ปริมาณ
$271,862 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
6% โอกาส
$271,862 ปริมาณ
$271,862 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent polling across multiple firms shows consistent majorities of 60-74% of Albertans favoring the province remaining in Canada on the October 19, 2026 non-binding referendum question, with only 19-33% supporting the start of a legal process toward a binding independence vote. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has publicly stated her preference for staying within Confederation, while a May 2026 court ruling struck down a citizen petition for a direct separation referendum over inadequate consultation with First Nations on treaty rights. Support for actual independence remains a minority position around 18-25%, stable or slightly declining amid ongoing federal-provincial tensions but without evidence of a surge in backing. These factors underpin the strong trader consensus against Alberta advancing toward a 2026 independence vote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$271,862วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent polling across multiple firms shows consistent majorities of 60-74% of Albertans favoring the province remaining in Canada on the October 19, 2026 non-binding referendum question, with only 19-33% supporting the start of a legal process toward a binding independence vote. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has publicly stated her preference for staying within Confederation, while a May 2026 court ruling struck down a citizen petition for a direct separation referendum over inadequate consultation with First Nations on treaty rights. Support for actual independence remains a minority position around 18-25%, stable or slightly declining amid ongoing federal-provincial tensions but without evidence of a surge in backing. These factors underpin the strong trader consensus against Alberta advancing toward a 2026 independence vote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$271,862วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Recent polling across multiple firms shows consistent majorities of 60-74% of Albertans favoring the province remaining in Canada on the October 19, 2026 non-binding referendum question, with only 19-33% supporting the start of a legal process toward a binding independence vote. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has publicly stated her preference for staying within Confederation, while a May 2026 court ruling struck down a citizen petition for a direct separation referendum over inadequate consultation with First Nations on treaty rights. Support for actual independence remains a minority position around 18-25%, stable or slightly declining amid ongoing federal-provincial tensions but without evidence of a surge in backing. These factors underpin the strong trader consensus against Alberta advancing toward a 2026 independence vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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