The East Bay district’s D+18 partisan voting index and the Democratic nominee’s 66.5% margin in the prior general election anchor trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party. Incumbent Mark DeSaulnier, serving since 2015 and holding seats on the Transportation and Infrastructure and Ethics committees, benefits from recent legislative activity securing local infrastructure funding. The June 2 top-two primary features multiple Democratic challengers but limited Republican participation, reinforcing the seat’s structural advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. A primary upset or unexpected national shift in turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in comparable safe Democratic districts have limited such volatility.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateCA-10 House Election Winner
CA-10 House Election Winner
$16,873 Vol.
$16,873 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$16,873 Vol.
$16,873 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,249 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$5,624 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The East Bay district’s D+18 partisan voting index and the Democratic nominee’s 66.5% margin in the prior general election anchor trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party. Incumbent Mark DeSaulnier, serving since 2015 and holding seats on the Transportation and Infrastructure and Ethics committees, benefits from recent legislative activity securing local infrastructure funding. The June 2 top-two primary features multiple Democratic challengers but limited Republican participation, reinforcing the seat’s structural advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. A primary upset or unexpected national shift in turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in comparable safe Democratic districts have limited such volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$16,873Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The East Bay district’s D+18 partisan voting index and the Democratic nominee’s 66.5% margin in the prior general election anchor trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party. Incumbent Mark DeSaulnier, serving since 2015 and holding seats on the Transportation and Infrastructure and Ethics committees, benefits from recent legislative activity securing local infrastructure funding. The June 2 top-two primary features multiple Democratic challengers but limited Republican participation, reinforcing the seat’s structural advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. A primary upset or unexpected national shift in turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in comparable safe Democratic districts have limited such volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,873Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The East Bay district’s D+18 partisan voting index and the Democratic nominee’s 66.5% margin in the prior general election anchor trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party. Incumbent Mark DeSaulnier, serving since 2015 and holding seats on the Transportation and Infrastructure and Ethics committees, benefits from recent legislative activity securing local infrastructure funding. The June 2 top-two primary features multiple Democratic challengers but limited Republican participation, reinforcing the seat’s structural advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. A primary upset or unexpected national shift in turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in comparable safe Democratic districts have limited such volatility.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong