Xi Jinping has consolidated authority through systematic purges of Central Committee members and People’s Liberation Army officers, alongside promotions of loyal younger cadres ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. These moves, including extensive turnover at the 2025 Fourth Plenum, signal tight control over personnel and policy continuity rather than vulnerability. Scheduled leader-level diplomacy with the United States and emphasis on internal vigilance further reinforce stability expectations. Trader consensus on low coup risk reflects this managed elite dynamics, though abrupt shifts could still arise from undisclosed health events, sudden factional fractures, or major external shocks disrupting the transition timeline.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$153,478 Vol.
$153,478 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$153,478 Vol.
$153,478 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping has consolidated authority through systematic purges of Central Committee members and People’s Liberation Army officers, alongside promotions of loyal younger cadres ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. These moves, including extensive turnover at the 2025 Fourth Plenum, signal tight control over personnel and policy continuity rather than vulnerability. Scheduled leader-level diplomacy with the United States and emphasis on internal vigilance further reinforce stability expectations. Trader consensus on low coup risk reflects this managed elite dynamics, though abrupt shifts could still arise from undisclosed health events, sudden factional fractures, or major external shocks disrupting the transition timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$153,478Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping has consolidated authority through systematic purges of Central Committee members and People’s Liberation Army officers, alongside promotions of loyal younger cadres ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. These moves, including extensive turnover at the 2025 Fourth Plenum, signal tight control over personnel and policy continuity rather than vulnerability. Scheduled leader-level diplomacy with the United States and emphasis on internal vigilance further reinforce stability expectations. Trader consensus on low coup risk reflects this managed elite dynamics, though abrupt shifts could still arise from undisclosed health events, sudden factional fractures, or major external shocks disrupting the transition timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$153,478Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping has consolidated authority through systematic purges of Central Committee members and People’s Liberation Army officers, alongside promotions of loyal younger cadres ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. These moves, including extensive turnover at the 2025 Fourth Plenum, signal tight control over personnel and policy continuity rather than vulnerability. Scheduled leader-level diplomacy with the United States and emphasis on internal vigilance further reinforce stability expectations. Trader consensus on low coup risk reflects this managed elite dynamics, though abrupt shifts could still arise from undisclosed health events, sudden factional fractures, or major external shocks disrupting the transition timeline.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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