Xi Jinping's consolidation of power within the Chinese Communist Party, including his third term secured in 2022-2023 and ongoing emphasis on party loyalty over competence, underpins trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Recent National People's Congress sessions and five-year planning have reinforced centralized control, with military purges and appointments prioritizing alignment rather than signaling fractures. No organized opposition or factional challenges have emerged publicly amid economic securitization efforts. While late-breaking events such as elite health crises, severe economic shocks, or unprecedented external pressures could theoretically shift dynamics, the current system’s opacity and historical stability make such outcomes improbable in the remaining months.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$153,494 Vol.
$153,494 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$153,494 Vol.
$153,494 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's consolidation of power within the Chinese Communist Party, including his third term secured in 2022-2023 and ongoing emphasis on party loyalty over competence, underpins trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Recent National People's Congress sessions and five-year planning have reinforced centralized control, with military purges and appointments prioritizing alignment rather than signaling fractures. No organized opposition or factional challenges have emerged publicly amid economic securitization efforts. While late-breaking events such as elite health crises, severe economic shocks, or unprecedented external pressures could theoretically shift dynamics, the current system’s opacity and historical stability make such outcomes improbable in the remaining months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$153,494Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's consolidation of power within the Chinese Communist Party, including his third term secured in 2022-2023 and ongoing emphasis on party loyalty over competence, underpins trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Recent National People's Congress sessions and five-year planning have reinforced centralized control, with military purges and appointments prioritizing alignment rather than signaling fractures. No organized opposition or factional challenges have emerged publicly amid economic securitization efforts. While late-breaking events such as elite health crises, severe economic shocks, or unprecedented external pressures could theoretically shift dynamics, the current system’s opacity and historical stability make such outcomes improbable in the remaining months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$153,494Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping's consolidation of power within the Chinese Communist Party, including his third term secured in 2022-2023 and ongoing emphasis on party loyalty over competence, underpins trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Recent National People's Congress sessions and five-year planning have reinforced centralized control, with military purges and appointments prioritizing alignment rather than signaling fractures. No organized opposition or factional challenges have emerged publicly amid economic securitization efforts. While late-breaking events such as elite health crises, severe economic shocks, or unprecedented external pressures could theoretically shift dynamics, the current system’s opacity and historical stability make such outcomes improbable in the remaining months.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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