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Halalan·Ireland

Email: info@dublinchinesenewyear.com

Market icon
Halalan·Ireland

Email: info@dublinchinesenewyear.com

Daniel Ennis 76%

Janice Boylan 16.0%

Gerry Hutch 4.0%

John Stephens 3.2%

Polymarket

$853,871 Vol.

Daniel Ennis 76%

Janice Boylan 16.0%

Gerry Hutch 4.0%

John Stephens 3.2%

Polymarket

$853,871 Vol.

Daniel Ennis

$15,364 Vol.

76%

Janice Boylan

$6,735 Vol.

16%

Gerry Hutch

$495,786 Vol.

4%

John Stephens

$76,563 Vol.

3%

Ray McAdam

$9,489 Vol.

2%

Gillian Sherratt

$132,971 Vol.

2%

Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin

$48,075 Vol.

1%

Janet Horner

$6,324 Vol.

<1%

Malachy Steenson

$14,036 Vol.

<1%

Ian Noel Smyth

$6,644 Vol.

<1%

Séamas McGrattan

$4,808 Vol.

<1%

Mary Fitzpatrick

$37,077 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Social Democrats councillor Daniel Ennis leads trader consensus at 75.5% implied probability in the Dublin Central Dáil by-election, fueled by strong canvassing reports and positive door-to-door reception in the North Inner City over the past week, positioning him to consolidate anti-government votes amid Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael's historical weakness post-Bertie Ahern era. Sinn Féin's Janice Boylan holds second at 16% following her February selection, buoyed by party loyalty but trailing amid softer national momentum. Independent Gerry Hutch garners 4% despite February campaign launch and voter disillusionment buzz, dismissed by pundits like Ahern as non-viable; transfers will prove decisive in this proportional representation contest expected soon.

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Volume
$853,871
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Social Democrats councillor Daniel Ennis leads trader consensus at 75.5% implied probability in the Dublin Central Dáil by-election, fueled by strong canvassing reports and positive door-to-door reception in the North Inner City over the past week, positioning him to consolidate anti-government votes amid Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael's historical weakness post-Bertie Ahern era. Sinn Féin's Janice Boylan holds second at 16% following her February selection, buoyed by party loyalty but trailing amid softer national momentum. Independent Gerry Hutch garners 4% despite February campaign launch and voter disillusionment buzz, dismissed by pundits like Ahern as non-viable; transfers will prove decisive in this proportional representation contest expected soon.

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Volume
$853,871
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Email: info@dublinchinesenewyear.com" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 12 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Daniel Ennis" sa 76%, sinusundan ng "Janice Boylan" sa 16%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 76¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 76% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Email: info@dublinchinesenewyear.com" ay naka-generate ng $853.9K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Feb 20, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Email: info@dublinchinesenewyear.com," i-browse ang 12 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Email: info@dublinchinesenewyear.com" ay "Daniel Ennis" sa 76%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 76% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Janice Boylan" sa 16%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Email: info@dublinchinesenewyear.com" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.