Persistent forecast consensus from NOAA and major models points to a daytime high of 101°F in Dallas on September 12 under clear skies and southerly winds of 5–10 mph, driving the strong market weighting toward the 100–101°F bin. This reflects typical late-summer high-pressure dominance across North Texas, with minimal cloud cover or moisture to limit surface heating and heat indices projected near 107°F. Recent model runs have shown little deviation from this outcome, consistent with the month’s above-average temperatures and the absence of frontal systems or precipitation that could cap readings. Official Dallas/Fort Worth observations will determine final resolution, with any last-hour cooling unlikely given stable atmospheric conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Dallas on September 12?
100-101°F 70%
98-99°F 16%
102-103°F 12%
96-97°F 4%
$23,656 Vol.
$23,656 Vol.
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
70%
102-103°F
12%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
2%
108°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 70%
98-99°F 16%
102-103°F 12%
96-97°F 4%
$23,656 Vol.
$23,656 Vol.
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
70%
102-103°F
12%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
2%
108°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 10, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent forecast consensus from NOAA and major models points to a daytime high of 101°F in Dallas on September 12 under clear skies and southerly winds of 5–10 mph, driving the strong market weighting toward the 100–101°F bin. This reflects typical late-summer high-pressure dominance across North Texas, with minimal cloud cover or moisture to limit surface heating and heat indices projected near 107°F. Recent model runs have shown little deviation from this outcome, consistent with the month’s above-average temperatures and the absence of frontal systems or precipitation that could cap readings. Official Dallas/Fort Worth observations will determine final resolution, with any last-hour cooling unlikely given stable atmospheric conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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