Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific are suppressing daytime heating in San Francisco today, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a high near 65–69°F at official stations such as KSFO. Typical August climatology features coastal highs around 69°F, but a compressed yet persistent marine layer—maintained by moderate northwest winds and cooler sea-surface temperatures—has limited afternoon warming and promoted earlier stratus return. Recent model runs show minimal inland penetration of warmer air, keeping maximum temperatures below the 70°F threshold at the resolution point. Trader consensus heavily weights these conditions, assigning 84% implied probability to 67°F or below while discounting brief clearing scenarios that could allow modest warming.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 8?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 8?
67°F or below 97%
70-71°F 4%
68-69°F 2%
76-77°F <1%
$32,039 Vol.
$32,039 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
67°F or below
97%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
67°F or below 97%
70-71°F 4%
68-69°F 2%
76-77°F <1%
$32,039 Vol.
$32,039 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
67°F or below
$5,844 Vol.
97%
68-69°F
$5,531 Vol.
2%
70-71°F
$5,202 Vol.
4%
72-73°F
$5,506 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$3,792 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$2,457 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$1,320 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$776 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$864 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$371 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$376 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific are suppressing daytime heating in San Francisco today, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a high near 65–69°F at official stations such as KSFO. Typical August climatology features coastal highs around 69°F, but a compressed yet persistent marine layer—maintained by moderate northwest winds and cooler sea-surface temperatures—has limited afternoon warming and promoted earlier stratus return. Recent model runs show minimal inland penetration of warmer air, keeping maximum temperatures below the 70°F threshold at the resolution point. Trader consensus heavily weights these conditions, assigning 84% implied probability to 67°F or below while discounting brief clearing scenarios that could allow modest warming.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$32,039Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 8, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific are suppressing daytime heating in San Francisco today, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a high near 65–69°F at official stations such as KSFO. Typical August climatology features coastal highs around 69°F, but a compressed yet persistent marine layer—maintained by moderate northwest winds and cooler sea-surface temperatures—has limited afternoon warming and promoted earlier stratus return. Recent model runs show minimal inland penetration of warmer air, keeping maximum temperatures below the 70°F threshold at the resolution point. Trader consensus heavily weights these conditions, assigning 84% implied probability to 67°F or below while discounting brief clearing scenarios that could allow modest warming.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,039Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 8, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific are suppressing daytime heating in San Francisco today, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a high near 65–69°F at official stations such as KSFO. Typical August climatology features coastal highs around 69°F, but a compressed yet persistent marine layer—maintained by moderate northwest winds and cooler sea-surface temperatures—has limited afternoon warming and promoted earlier stratus return. Recent model runs show minimal inland penetration of warmer air, keeping maximum temperatures below the 70°F threshold at the resolution point. Trader consensus heavily weights these conditions, assigning 84% implied probability to 67°F or below while discounting brief clearing scenarios that could allow modest warming.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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