Recent moderation in U.S. manufacturing activity after July’s 55.6 reading—the strongest since May 2022—has left trader sentiment dispersed across the September 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI ranges. The August PMI eased to 54.6, below consensus expectations of 55.2, as new orders slowed to 53.7 and backlogs contracted while production held near 58.3 and the prices index remained elevated at 71.1 amid tariffs on steel and aluminum plus Middle East supply-chain pressures. Eight consecutive months above 50 signal sustained expansion supported by AI-related capex, reshoring, and defense spending, yet persistent input-cost volatility and softer demand create swing factors that keep implied probabilities closely matched between the low-50s and mid-50s brackets ahead of the October 1 release.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update55.0 to 55.9 37%
57.0 to 57.9 37%
50.0 to 50.9 36%
54.0 to 54.9 33%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 1, 2026
<50.0
11%
50.0 to 50.9
36%
51.0 to 51.9
24%
52.0 to 52.9
14%
53.0 to 53.9
23%
54.0 to 54.9
33%
55.0 to 55.9
37%
56.0 to 56.9
23%
57.0 to 57.9
37%
58.0+
25%
55.0 to 55.9 37%
57.0 to 57.9 37%
50.0 to 50.9 36%
54.0 to 54.9 33%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 1, 2026
<50.0
$80 Vol.
11%
50.0 to 50.9
$17 Vol.
36%
51.0 to 51.9
$17 Vol.
24%
52.0 to 52.9
$33 Vol.
14%
53.0 to 53.9
$17 Vol.
23%
54.0 to 54.9
$16 Vol.
33%
55.0 to 55.9
$32 Vol.
37%
56.0 to 56.9
$17 Vol.
23%
57.0 to 57.9
$17 Vol.
37%
58.0+
$26 Vol.
25%
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in U.S. manufacturing activity after July’s 55.6 reading—the strongest since May 2022—has left trader sentiment dispersed across the September 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI ranges. The August PMI eased to 54.6, below consensus expectations of 55.2, as new orders slowed to 53.7 and backlogs contracted while production held near 58.3 and the prices index remained elevated at 71.1 amid tariffs on steel and aluminum plus Middle East supply-chain pressures. Eight consecutive months above 50 signal sustained expansion supported by AI-related capex, reshoring, and defense spending, yet persistent input-cost volatility and softer demand create swing factors that keep implied probabilities closely matched between the low-50s and mid-50s brackets ahead of the October 1 release.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Volume
$271Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in U.S. manufacturing activity after July’s 55.6 reading—the strongest since May 2022—has left trader sentiment dispersed across the September 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI ranges. The August PMI eased to 54.6, below consensus expectations of 55.2, as new orders slowed to 53.7 and backlogs contracted while production held near 58.3 and the prices index remained elevated at 71.1 amid tariffs on steel and aluminum plus Middle East supply-chain pressures. Eight consecutive months above 50 signal sustained expansion supported by AI-related capex, reshoring, and defense spending, yet persistent input-cost volatility and softer demand create swing factors that keep implied probabilities closely matched between the low-50s and mid-50s brackets ahead of the October 1 release.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$271Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent moderation in U.S. manufacturing activity after July’s 55.6 reading—the strongest since May 2022—has left trader sentiment dispersed across the September 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI ranges. The August PMI eased to 54.6, below consensus expectations of 55.2, as new orders slowed to 53.7 and backlogs contracted while production held near 58.3 and the prices index remained elevated at 71.1 amid tariffs on steel and aluminum plus Middle East supply-chain pressures. Eight consecutive months above 50 signal sustained expansion supported by AI-related capex, reshoring, and defense spending, yet persistent input-cost volatility and softer demand create swing factors that keep implied probabilities closely matched between the low-50s and mid-50s brackets ahead of the October 1 release.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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