Divergence among short-range forecast models on the strength and timing of an incoming northwest frontal system is the main driver splitting trader consensus for Ankara’s September 14 low temperature. Ankara’s high-elevation continental setting permits rapid diurnal swings, so outcomes hinge on whether clear skies enable strong radiational cooling overnight or whether increased cloud cover and southwesterly flow limit the drop to the mid-teens Celsius. Current ensemble guidance clusters most likely minimums near 15–16 °C, yet small shifts in frontal position or wind speed could push readings several degrees lower or keep them above 20 °C. Fresh ECMWF and GFS runs plus Turkish Meteorological Service updates expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Ankara on September 14?
12°C or below 84%
22°C or higher 83%
16°C 40%
20°C 40%
12°C or below
84%
13°C
24%
14°C
24%
15°C
22%
16°C
40%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C
38%
20°C
40%
21°C
38%
22°C or higher
83%
12°C or below 84%
22°C or higher 83%
16°C 40%
20°C 40%
12°C or below
84%
13°C
24%
14°C
24%
15°C
22%
16°C
40%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C
38%
20°C
40%
21°C
38%
22°C or higher
83%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Divergence among short-range forecast models on the strength and timing of an incoming northwest frontal system is the main driver splitting trader consensus for Ankara’s September 14 low temperature. Ankara’s high-elevation continental setting permits rapid diurnal swings, so outcomes hinge on whether clear skies enable strong radiational cooling overnight or whether increased cloud cover and southwesterly flow limit the drop to the mid-teens Celsius. Current ensemble guidance clusters most likely minimums near 15–16 °C, yet small shifts in frontal position or wind speed could push readings several degrees lower or keep them above 20 °C. Fresh ECMWF and GFS runs plus Turkish Meteorological Service updates expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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