Recent meteorological forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, LUFT TIME, and global models project Beijing's overnight low on September 3 near 19–21°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 18.8°C for the date. Trader emphasis on the 13°C-or-below outcome at 40% implied probability reflects residual model spread and historical precedent for occasional cooler intrusions, as the all-time low stands at 13.3°C. With resolution imminent, updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely narrow uncertainty around steering patterns and boundary-layer cooling.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Beijing on September 3?
13°C or below 79%
17°C 29%
18°C 28%
15°C 27%
13°C or below
79%
14°C
8%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
29%
18°C
28%
19°C
26%
20°C
25%
21°C
25%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
24%
13°C or below 79%
17°C 29%
18°C 28%
15°C 27%
13°C or below
79%
14°C
8%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
29%
18°C
28%
19°C
26%
20°C
25%
21°C
25%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
24%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, LUFT TIME, and global models project Beijing's overnight low on September 3 near 19–21°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 18.8°C for the date. Trader emphasis on the 13°C-or-below outcome at 40% implied probability reflects residual model spread and historical precedent for occasional cooler intrusions, as the all-time low stands at 13.3°C. With resolution imminent, updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely narrow uncertainty around steering patterns and boundary-layer cooling.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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