Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a minimum temperature in the mid-60s °F for Chicago on September 6, driven by clear skies, light northeast winds, and radiational cooling under high pressure following a cooler air mass intrusion. This setup supports trader emphasis on the 61°F-or-below outcome at 34.5% implied probability, while nearby bins near 64–71°F cluster around 24–27% amid typical forecast uncertainty ranges of several degrees. Historical September 6 averages near 63°F provide context, yet current steering patterns and dew points near 60°F limit further cooling potential. Updated NWS model runs and evening observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of overnight lows.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Chicago on September 6?
61°F or below 69%
80°F or higher 59%
62-63°F 49%
74-75°F 49%
61°F or below
69%
62-63°F
49%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
48%
74-75°F
49%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
20%
80°F or higher
59%
61°F or below 69%
80°F or higher 59%
62-63°F 49%
74-75°F 49%
61°F or below
69%
62-63°F
49%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
48%
74-75°F
49%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
20%
80°F or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a minimum temperature in the mid-60s °F for Chicago on September 6, driven by clear skies, light northeast winds, and radiational cooling under high pressure following a cooler air mass intrusion. This setup supports trader emphasis on the 61°F-or-below outcome at 34.5% implied probability, while nearby bins near 64–71°F cluster around 24–27% amid typical forecast uncertainty ranges of several degrees. Historical September 6 averages near 63°F provide context, yet current steering patterns and dew points near 60°F limit further cooling potential. Updated NWS model runs and evening observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of overnight lows.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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