Recent forecast models from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European ensembles indicate Helsinki's minimum temperature on September 4 will likely fall between 9–11°C, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight, and Baltic Sea influence moderating extremes. This consensus supports elevated market-implied odds near 10°C while the near-even split between 16°C-or-higher and 6°C-or-below outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential shifts in high-pressure positioning. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 11°C, underscoring that current conditions align with typical early-autumn variability rather than anomalous warmth or cold. Updated model runs expected within the next 12–18 hours will likely refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Helsinki on September 4?
16°C or higher 76%
6°C or below 72%
8°C 49%
12°C 49%
6°C or below
72%
7°C
27%
8°C
49%
9°C
31%
10°C
38%
11°C
27%
12°C
49%
13°C
49%
14°C
13%
15°C
7%
16°C or higher
76%
16°C or higher 76%
6°C or below 72%
8°C 49%
12°C 49%
6°C or below
72%
7°C
27%
8°C
49%
9°C
31%
10°C
38%
11°C
27%
12°C
49%
13°C
49%
14°C
13%
15°C
7%
16°C or higher
76%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European ensembles indicate Helsinki's minimum temperature on September 4 will likely fall between 9–11°C, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight, and Baltic Sea influence moderating extremes. This consensus supports elevated market-implied odds near 10°C while the near-even split between 16°C-or-higher and 6°C-or-below outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential shifts in high-pressure positioning. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 11°C, underscoring that current conditions align with typical early-autumn variability rather than anomalous warmth or cold. Updated model runs expected within the next 12–18 hours will likely refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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