Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly clear skies and northeasterly winds over Istanbul on September 3, supporting overnight lows near 21–22°C under stable high pressure. This pattern, with light to moderate NE flow and minimal cloud cover, limits radiative cooling while urban and maritime influences prevent sharper drops typical of early September climatology. Trader consensus clusters around 22°C as the most probable minimum, with elevated odds on 27°C or higher reflecting uncertainty over whether urban heat retention or slight model warming could keep the low elevated. Resolution hinges on official observations at the primary station, where small shifts in wind or dew point could differentiate outcomes near the 21–23°C range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 3?
27°C or higher 61%
18°C 50%
22°C 40%
21°C 27%
17°C or below
6%
18°C
50%
19°C
27%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
40%
23°C
27%
24°C
26%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
61%
27°C or higher 61%
18°C 50%
22°C 40%
21°C 27%
17°C or below
6%
18°C
50%
19°C
27%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
40%
23°C
27%
24°C
26%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
61%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly clear skies and northeasterly winds over Istanbul on September 3, supporting overnight lows near 21–22°C under stable high pressure. This pattern, with light to moderate NE flow and minimal cloud cover, limits radiative cooling while urban and maritime influences prevent sharper drops typical of early September climatology. Trader consensus clusters around 22°C as the most probable minimum, with elevated odds on 27°C or higher reflecting uncertainty over whether urban heat retention or slight model warming could keep the low elevated. Resolution hinges on official observations at the primary station, where small shifts in wind or dew point could differentiate outcomes near the 21–23°C range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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