Recent National Weather Service and model consensus points to northwest flow and partial clearing overnight on September 4 driving the daily minimum into the upper 60s to low 70s, with trader odds clustered on 70–75°F reflecting uncertainty in exact radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Persistent humidity from prior days limits temperature drops, while light northwest winds (5–10 mph) promote modest advection of cooler air without strong downslope effects. Clearer skies after evening showers would enhance longwave radiation loss, potentially pushing readings toward 67–69°F; lingering clouds or higher dew points could hold minima near 73–75°F. Updated NWS forecast discussions and 00Z model runs on September 3 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in NYC on September 4?
74-75°F 45%
72-73°F 32%
70-71°F 29%
76-77°F 22%
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
45%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
3%
82°F or higher
2%
74-75°F 45%
72-73°F 32%
70-71°F 29%
76-77°F 22%
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
45%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
3%
82°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus points to northwest flow and partial clearing overnight on September 4 driving the daily minimum into the upper 60s to low 70s, with trader odds clustered on 70–75°F reflecting uncertainty in exact radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Persistent humidity from prior days limits temperature drops, while light northwest winds (5–10 mph) promote modest advection of cooler air without strong downslope effects. Clearer skies after evening showers would enhance longwave radiation loss, potentially pushing readings toward 67–69°F; lingering clouds or higher dew points could hold minima near 73–75°F. Updated NWS forecast discussions and 00Z model runs on September 3 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong