**Current forecast consensus from sources including WeatherBug, local Chinese meteorological services, and WindBorne points to an overnight low near 21–24°C for Jinan on September 15 under clear to mostly clear skies and light southwest winds, well above the market’s leading 12–15°C cluster.** Trader sentiment appears anchored in historical September averages (typical lows around 17–18°C) and the natural seasonal cooling trend as solar insolation declines, combined with uncertainty over the precise official station reading that resolves the market. Clear conditions favor radiative cooling overnight, yet the warm air mass and breezy flow limit the drop, while model consensus shows minimal disagreement on this stable pattern. No major frontal systems or precipitation are expected to alter temperatures sharply on this date. Upcoming official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will provide the definitive minimum, with the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 13–15°C reflecting the balance between climatological baselines and the current warm anomaly.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Jinan on September 15?
15°C 99%
12°C or below 20%
13°C 16%
14°C 16%
$2,161 Vol.
$2,161 Vol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
15°C 99%
12°C or below 20%
13°C 16%
14°C 16%
$2,161 Vol.
$2,161 Vol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
**Current forecast consensus from sources including WeatherBug, local Chinese meteorological services, and WindBorne points to an overnight low near 21–24°C for Jinan on September 15 under clear to mostly clear skies and light southwest winds, well above the market’s leading 12–15°C cluster.** Trader sentiment appears anchored in historical September averages (typical lows around 17–18°C) and the natural seasonal cooling trend as solar insolation declines, combined with uncertainty over the precise official station reading that resolves the market. Clear conditions favor radiative cooling overnight, yet the warm air mass and breezy flow limit the drop, while model consensus shows minimal disagreement on this stable pattern. No major frontal systems or precipitation are expected to alter temperatures sharply on this date. Upcoming official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will provide the definitive minimum, with the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 13–15°C reflecting the balance between climatological baselines and the current warm anomaly.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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