Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate overnight lows for London on September 4 will likely settle between 13–16°C under a strengthening westerly flow that advects cooler maritime air after daytime peaks near 22°C. Clearing skies following light rain and moderate winds of 10–15 mph should promote radiational cooling overnight, though cloud cover and residual moisture may limit drops below 14°C. These conditions align closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 16–18°C, reflecting trader weighting of model consensus and historical September minima around 12–15°C while accounting for forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points that could shift implied probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in London on September 4?
Lowest temperature in London on September 4?
17°C 42%
18°C 27%
16°C 25%
15°C 5%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 4, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
25%
17°C
42%
18°C
27%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 42%
18°C 27%
16°C 25%
15°C 5%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 4, 2026
12°C or below
$79 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$102 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$250 Vol.
1%
15°C
$294 Vol.
5%
16°C
$638 Vol.
25%
17°C
$781 Vol.
42%
18°C
$1,288 Vol.
27%
19°C
$527 Vol.
1%
20°C
$1,191 Vol.
2%
21°C
$157 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$71 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate overnight lows for London on September 4 will likely settle between 13–16°C under a strengthening westerly flow that advects cooler maritime air after daytime peaks near 22°C. Clearing skies following light rain and moderate winds of 10–15 mph should promote radiational cooling overnight, though cloud cover and residual moisture may limit drops below 14°C. These conditions align closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 16–18°C, reflecting trader weighting of model consensus and historical September minima around 12–15°C while accounting for forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$5,377Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate overnight lows for London on September 4 will likely settle between 13–16°C under a strengthening westerly flow that advects cooler maritime air after daytime peaks near 22°C. Clearing skies following light rain and moderate winds of 10–15 mph should promote radiational cooling overnight, though cloud cover and residual moisture may limit drops below 14°C. These conditions align closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 16–18°C, reflecting trader weighting of model consensus and historical September minima around 12–15°C while accounting for forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,377Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate overnight lows for London on September 4 will likely settle between 13–16°C under a strengthening westerly flow that advects cooler maritime air after daytime peaks near 22°C. Clearing skies following light rain and moderate winds of 10–15 mph should promote radiational cooling overnight, though cloud cover and residual moisture may limit drops below 14°C. These conditions align closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 16–18°C, reflecting trader weighting of model consensus and historical September minima around 12–15°C while accounting for forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points that could shift implied probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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