**Forecast consensus from official sources like the Met Office and model runs points to a daily minimum temperature of 18–19°C in London on September 3, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s top outcomes (19°C at 47.5% and 18°C at 34.5%).** Mild southwesterly flow and widespread cloud cover are limiting radiational cooling overnight, keeping temperatures elevated compared to typical early-September baselines near 12–14°C. Multiple model outputs, including GFS-derived guidance, show overnight readings holding in the 18–19°C range through the early morning hours, with only modest diurnal variation expected under mostly cloudy skies and light-to-moderate winds. These conditions reduce the likelihood of sharper drops that would favor lower outcomes (17°C or below combined <4%), while the absence of stronger high pressure or clear skies makes values of 20°C+ less probable. Traders appear to be weighting the latest model consensus and Met Office guidance, which emphasize stable mild air and limited cooling potential, producing tight clustering around the 18–19°C band with high implied probability.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in London on September 3?
Lowest temperature in London on September 3?
19°C 48%
18°C 34%
20°C 11%
17°C 3%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 3, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
34%
19°C
48%
20°C
11%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 48%
18°C 34%
20°C 11%
17°C 3%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 3, 2026
13°C or below
$65 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$93 Vol.
1%
16°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$237 Vol.
3%
18°C
$1,085 Vol.
34%
19°C
$950 Vol.
48%
20°C
$213 Vol.
11%
21°C
$99 Vol.
2%
22°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$45 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from official sources like the Met Office and model runs points to a daily minimum temperature of 18–19°C in London on September 3, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s top outcomes (19°C at 47.5% and 18°C at 34.5%).**
Mild southwesterly flow and widespread cloud cover are limiting radiational cooling overnight, keeping temperatures elevated compared to typical early-September baselines near 12–14°C. Multiple model outputs, including GFS-derived guidance, show overnight readings holding in the 18–19°C range through the early morning hours, with only modest diurnal variation expected under mostly cloudy skies and light-to-moderate winds.
These conditions reduce the likelihood of sharper drops that would favor lower outcomes (17°C or below combined <4%), while the absence of stronger high pressure or clear skies makes values of 20°C+ less probable. Traders appear to be weighting the latest model consensus and Met Office guidance, which emphasize stable mild air and limited cooling potential, producing tight clustering around the 18–19°C band with high implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,902Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from official sources like the Met Office and model runs points to a daily minimum temperature of 18–19°C in London on September 3, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s top outcomes (19°C at 47.5% and 18°C at 34.5%).**
Mild southwesterly flow and widespread cloud cover are limiting radiational cooling overnight, keeping temperatures elevated compared to typical early-September baselines near 12–14°C. Multiple model outputs, including GFS-derived guidance, show overnight readings holding in the 18–19°C range through the early morning hours, with only modest diurnal variation expected under mostly cloudy skies and light-to-moderate winds.
These conditions reduce the likelihood of sharper drops that would favor lower outcomes (17°C or below combined <4%), while the absence of stronger high pressure or clear skies makes values of 20°C+ less probable. Traders appear to be weighting the latest model consensus and Met Office guidance, which emphasize stable mild air and limited cooling potential, producing tight clustering around the 18–19°C band with high implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,902Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from official sources like the Met Office and model runs points to a daily minimum temperature of 18–19°C in London on September 3, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s top outcomes (19°C at 47.5% and 18°C at 34.5%).** Mild southwesterly flow and widespread cloud cover are limiting radiational cooling overnight, keeping temperatures elevated compared to typical early-September baselines near 12–14°C. Multiple model outputs, including GFS-derived guidance, show overnight readings holding in the 18–19°C range through the early morning hours, with only modest diurnal variation expected under mostly cloudy skies and light-to-moderate winds. These conditions reduce the likelihood of sharper drops that would favor lower outcomes (17°C or below combined <4%), while the absence of stronger high pressure or clear skies makes values of 20°C+ less probable. Traders appear to be weighting the latest model consensus and Met Office guidance, which emphasize stable mild air and limited cooling potential, producing tight clustering around the 18–19°C band with high implied probability.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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