Persistent monsoon conditions over northern India, with elevated humidity near 85% and frequent cloud cover or thundershowers, are the main driver keeping overnight radiative cooling limited and supporting minimum temperatures around 25–27°C in Lucknow on September 14. India Meteorological Department guidance and model consensus indicate partly cloudy skies with rain chances of 60–85%, which trap heat and moisture near the surface, preventing sharper drops below 24°C while capping extremes above 28°C. Variable rainfall timing and wind patterns overnight introduce the narrow spread across market-implied outcomes, as clearer intervals could enhance cooling by 1–2°C while sustained cloudiness or precipitation holds readings higher.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 14?
21°C or below 66%
31°C or higher 66%
26°C 40%
23°C 38%
21°C or below
66%
22°C
14%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C
21%
26°C
33%
27°C
22%
28°C
26%
29°C
16%
30°C
16%
31°C or higher
66%
21°C or below 66%
31°C or higher 66%
26°C 40%
23°C 38%
21°C or below
66%
22°C
14%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C
21%
26°C
33%
27°C
22%
28°C
26%
29°C
16%
30°C
16%
31°C or higher
66%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon conditions over northern India, with elevated humidity near 85% and frequent cloud cover or thundershowers, are the main driver keeping overnight radiative cooling limited and supporting minimum temperatures around 25–27°C in Lucknow on September 14. India Meteorological Department guidance and model consensus indicate partly cloudy skies with rain chances of 60–85%, which trap heat and moisture near the surface, preventing sharper drops below 24°C while capping extremes above 28°C. Variable rainfall timing and wind patterns overnight introduce the narrow spread across market-implied outcomes, as clearer intervals could enhance cooling by 1–2°C while sustained cloudiness or precipitation holds readings higher.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong