Skip to main content
icon for Lowest temperature in Milan on August 29?

Lowest temperature in Milan on August 29?

icon for Lowest temperature in Milan on August 29?

Lowest temperature in Milan on August 29?

21°C 49%

20°C 48%

22°C 48%

14°C 47%

Polymarket
BAGO

21°C 49%

20°C 48%

22°C 48%

14°C 47%

Polymarket
BAGO

13°C or below

$125 Vol.

5%

14°C

$5 Vol.

47%

15°C

$16 Vol.

21%

16°C

$0 Vol.

25%

17°C

$0 Vol.

27%

18°C

$0 Vol.

27%

19°C

$0 Vol.

28%

20°C

$10 Vol.

48%

21°C

$5 Vol.

49%

22°C

$5 Vol.

48%

23°C or higher

$5 Vol.

42%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts for Milan on August 29, 2026, point to a minimum temperature in the 18–22°C range, with the tightest market clustering around 16–19°C reflecting model consensus on overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear or partly cloudy skies and light winds of 2–7 km/h.** High pressure and weak pressure gradients are allowing efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 29–30°C, with dew points in the mid-teens supporting modest humidity that limits excessive cooling. Official and ensemble guidance (including GFS-based runs) show early-morning readings bottoming near 19–21°C before sunrise, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Po Valley where urban heat island effects in Milan typically add 1–2°C to rural minima. The close spread in implied probabilities around 16–19°C captures residual uncertainty from slight differences in cloud cover timing, wind direction shifts, and boundary-layer mixing across models, while lower odds on 13°C or below or 23°C+ align with the absence of strong cold advection or widespread cloud cover that would blunt the nocturnal drop. Updated model runs through the evening of August 28 continue to support this narrow band, with any last adjustments likely hinging on final satellite trends in low-level moisture.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc

If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$171
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 29, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts for Milan on August 29, 2026, point to a minimum temperature in the 18–22°C range, with the tightest market clustering around 16–19°C reflecting model consensus on overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear or partly cloudy skies and light winds of 2–7 km/h.** High pressure and weak pressure gradients are allowing efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 29–30°C, with dew points in the mid-teens supporting modest humidity that limits excessive cooling. Official and ensemble guidance (including GFS-based runs) show early-morning readings bottoming near 19–21°C before sunrise, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Po Valley where urban heat island effects in Milan typically add 1–2°C to rural minima. The close spread in implied probabilities around 16–19°C captures residual uncertainty from slight differences in cloud cover timing, wind direction shifts, and boundary-layer mixing across models, while lower odds on 13°C or below or 23°C+ align with the absence of strong cold advection or widespread cloud cover that would blunt the nocturnal drop. Updated model runs through the evening of August 28 continue to support this narrow band, with any last adjustments likely hinging on final satellite trends in low-level moisture.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc

If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$171
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 29, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Lowest temperature in Milan on August 29?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 11 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "19°C" sa 28%, sinusundan ng "17°C" sa 27%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 28¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 28% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Lowest temperature in Milan on August 29?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 27, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Lowest temperature in Milan on August 29?," i-browse ang 11 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Lowest temperature in Milan on August 29?" ay "19°C" sa 28%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 28% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "17°C" sa 27%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Lowest temperature in Milan on August 29?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.