Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily minimum near 24–25°C for Qingdao on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity associated with regional summer monsoon flow. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling over the Yellow Sea coastal plain, where sea-surface temperatures remain near 26–28°C and moderate land-sea temperature gradients sustain onshore winds. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 21–23°C, yet current model consensus points to warmer minima due to the absence of clear skies or northerly advection. Traders have assigned the highest implied probability (42%) to 30°C or higher, reflecting uncertainty in short-term forecast evolution and potential for localized urban heat retention, while outcomes clustered around 22–24°C capture the most probable range ahead of the next model update cycle.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 29?
30°C or higher 84%
27°C 45%
29°C 45%
20°C or below 44%
20°C or below
44%
21°C
24%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
24%
26°C
44%
27°C
45%
28°C
22%
29°C
45%
30°C or higher
84%
30°C or higher 84%
27°C 45%
29°C 45%
20°C or below 44%
20°C or below
44%
21°C
24%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
24%
26°C
44%
27°C
45%
28°C
22%
29°C
45%
30°C or higher
84%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily minimum near 24–25°C for Qingdao on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity associated with regional summer monsoon flow. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling over the Yellow Sea coastal plain, where sea-surface temperatures remain near 26–28°C and moderate land-sea temperature gradients sustain onshore winds. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 21–23°C, yet current model consensus points to warmer minima due to the absence of clear skies or northerly advection. Traders have assigned the highest implied probability (42%) to 30°C or higher, reflecting uncertainty in short-term forecast evolution and potential for localized urban heat retention, while outcomes clustered around 22–24°C capture the most probable range ahead of the next model update cycle.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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