**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over the Korean Peninsula have produced a consistent forecast minimum of 16°C at Incheon International Airport (the official measurement site for Seoul-area temperatures) on September 16, 2026.** Official Korean Meteorological Administration guidance and multiple model runs show overnight lows settling near this level under mostly clear skies with light easterly winds, typical for mid-September climatology when daytime highs reach 26–28°C before radiative cooling overnight. The market’s overwhelming 98% implied probability on 16°C reflects this strong model consensus and absence of any disruptive weather systems, such as frontal passages or increased cloud cover that could raise the minimum. Realistic challenges remain limited but include a last-minute increase in low-level moisture or unexpected stratus that could hold temperatures 1–2°C higher, or an unforecasted brief clearing that allows slightly deeper cooling. With the overnight period largely complete and no major shifts in guidance, trader positioning aligns closely with the authoritative forecast data.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 16?
16°C 98%
15°C 2%
12°C 1.0%
11°C or below <1%
BAGO
$12,168 Vol.
BAGO
$12,168 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
11°C or below
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
98%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 98%
15°C 2%
12°C 1.0%
11°C or below <1%
BAGO
$12,168 Vol.
BAGO
$12,168 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
11°C or below
$141 Vol.
1%
12°C
$151 Vol.
1%
13°C
$91 Vol.
1%
14°C
$144 Vol.
1%
15°C
$2,115 Vol.
2%
16°C
$2,814 Vol.
98%
17°C
$2,992 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,272 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,059 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$132 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$1,257 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over the Korean Peninsula have produced a consistent forecast minimum of 16°C at Incheon International Airport (the official measurement site for Seoul-area temperatures) on September 16, 2026.**
Official Korean Meteorological Administration guidance and multiple model runs show overnight lows settling near this level under mostly clear skies with light easterly winds, typical for mid-September climatology when daytime highs reach 26–28°C before radiative cooling overnight. The market’s overwhelming 98% implied probability on 16°C reflects this strong model consensus and absence of any disruptive weather systems, such as frontal passages or increased cloud cover that could raise the minimum.
Realistic challenges remain limited but include a last-minute increase in low-level moisture or unexpected stratus that could hold temperatures 1–2°C higher, or an unforecasted brief clearing that allows slightly deeper cooling. With the overnight period largely complete and no major shifts in guidance, trader positioning aligns closely with the authoritative forecast data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$12,168Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over the Korean Peninsula have produced a consistent forecast minimum of 16°C at Incheon International Airport (the official measurement site for Seoul-area temperatures) on September 16, 2026.**
Official Korean Meteorological Administration guidance and multiple model runs show overnight lows settling near this level under mostly clear skies with light easterly winds, typical for mid-September climatology when daytime highs reach 26–28°C before radiative cooling overnight. The market’s overwhelming 98% implied probability on 16°C reflects this strong model consensus and absence of any disruptive weather systems, such as frontal passages or increased cloud cover that could raise the minimum.
Realistic challenges remain limited but include a last-minute increase in low-level moisture or unexpected stratus that could hold temperatures 1–2°C higher, or an unforecasted brief clearing that allows slightly deeper cooling. With the overnight period largely complete and no major shifts in guidance, trader positioning aligns closely with the authoritative forecast data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,168Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over the Korean Peninsula have produced a consistent forecast minimum of 16°C at Incheon International Airport (the official measurement site for Seoul-area temperatures) on September 16, 2026.** Official Korean Meteorological Administration guidance and multiple model runs show overnight lows settling near this level under mostly clear skies with light easterly winds, typical for mid-September climatology when daytime highs reach 26–28°C before radiative cooling overnight. The market’s overwhelming 98% implied probability on 16°C reflects this strong model consensus and absence of any disruptive weather systems, such as frontal passages or increased cloud cover that could raise the minimum. Realistic challenges remain limited but include a last-minute increase in low-level moisture or unexpected stratus that could hold temperatures 1–2°C higher, or an unforecasted brief clearing that allows slightly deeper cooling. With the overnight period largely complete and no major shifts in guidance, trader positioning aligns closely with the authoritative forecast data.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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