Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 14 will likely reach 23–24°C under northeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. High pressure maintains stable conditions without significant frontal passages or moisture surges that could alter the diurnal range, consistent with early September climatology for the region. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52% implied probability for 24°C and 31.5% for 23°C, incorporates model spread and potential microscale variations near urban heat islands, with limited upside risk for warmer readings absent unexpected wind shifts. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will refine these probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 14?
24°C 56%
23°C 16%
25°C 10%
22°C 7%
BAGO
$10,411 Vol.
BAGO
$10,411 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
27%
24°C
54%
25°C
21%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 56%
23°C 16%
25°C 10%
22°C 7%
BAGO
$10,411 Vol.
BAGO
$10,411 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
19°C or below
$100 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C
$1,787 Vol.
7%
23°C
$2,828 Vol.
27%
24°C
$3,609 Vol.
54%
25°C
$1,447 Vol.
21%
26°C
$108 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$208 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$223 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$100 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 14 will likely reach 23–24°C under northeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. High pressure maintains stable conditions without significant frontal passages or moisture surges that could alter the diurnal range, consistent with early September climatology for the region. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52% implied probability for 24°C and 31.5% for 23°C, incorporates model spread and potential microscale variations near urban heat islands, with limited upside risk for warmer readings absent unexpected wind shifts. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$10,411Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 14 will likely reach 23–24°C under northeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. High pressure maintains stable conditions without significant frontal passages or moisture surges that could alter the diurnal range, consistent with early September climatology for the region. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52% implied probability for 24°C and 31.5% for 23°C, incorporates model spread and potential microscale variations near urban heat islands, with limited upside risk for warmer readings absent unexpected wind shifts. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,411Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 14 will likely reach 23–24°C under northeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. High pressure maintains stable conditions without significant frontal passages or moisture surges that could alter the diurnal range, consistent with early September climatology for the region. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52% implied probability for 24°C and 31.5% for 23°C, incorporates model spread and potential microscale variations near urban heat islands, with limited upside risk for warmer readings absent unexpected wind shifts. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will refine these probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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