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icon for Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30?

Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30?

icon for Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30?

Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30?

Aug 30

Aug 31

Aug 30

Aug 31

25°C 95%

24°C 66%

26°C 48%

23°C or below 12%

Polymarket
BAGO

25°C 95%

24°C 66%

26°C 48%

23°C or below 12%

Polymarket
BAGO

23°C or below

$16 Vol.

12%

24°C

$10 Vol.

66%

25°C

$10 Vol.

95%

26°C

$11 Vol.

48%

27°C

$69 Vol.

35%

28°C

$100 Vol.

35%

29°C

$50 Vol.

<1%

30°C

$30 Vol.

<1%

31°C

$30 Vol.

<1%

32°C

$320 Vol.

<1%

33°C or higher

$30 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-94%, and widespread thunderstorms forecast for Shenzhen on August 30 are limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting lows clustered around 25-26°C. Light easterly or variable winds under 10 km/h, combined with dew points near 25-26°C, further constrain temperature drops despite the subtropical monsoon pattern. Official guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory highlights ongoing thundershower activity through the period, consistent with recent days' stable, muggy conditions that have produced similar overnight minima. Trader consensus favoring 25°C (45.5%) and 26°C (42.5%) reflects this narrow forecast range, with lower probabilities assigned to 24°C or below given the insulating effect of clouds and moisture. Updated model runs ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalyst.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$676
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-94%, and widespread thunderstorms forecast for Shenzhen on August 30 are limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting lows clustered around 25-26°C. Light easterly or variable winds under 10 km/h, combined with dew points near 25-26°C, further constrain temperature drops despite the subtropical monsoon pattern. Official guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory highlights ongoing thundershower activity through the period, consistent with recent days' stable, muggy conditions that have produced similar overnight minima. Trader consensus favoring 25°C (45.5%) and 26°C (42.5%) reflects this narrow forecast range, with lower probabilities assigned to 24°C or below given the insulating effect of clouds and moisture. Updated model runs ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalyst.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$676
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Kaugnay

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Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on August 31?

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icon for Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 30?

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 30?

41%
icon for Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 31?

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 31?

38%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 11 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "25°C" sa 48%, sinusundan ng "26°C" sa 48%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 48¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 48% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 28, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30?," i-browse ang 11 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30?" ay "25°C" sa 48%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 48% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "26°C" sa 48%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.