Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS outputs, indicate the overnight low in Tel Aviv will settle near 23°C under clear skies and light northerly winds typical of the region's Mediterranean climate in mid-September. Current observations and hourly data show temperatures stabilizing in the low to mid-20s°C after sunset, consistent with climatological norms for the date and stable high-pressure conditions that limit radiative cooling variability. This strong model consensus underpins the market's dominant 95.5% implied probability for 23°C as the daily minimum. Minor deviations could arise from localized urban heat effects or brief wind shifts, though significant drops below 22°C remain unlikely given the current atmospheric setup.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 15?
23°C 96%
19°C or below 20%
21°C 10%
22°C 2%
$2,548 Vol.
$2,548 Vol.
Sep 15, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
23°C 96%
19°C or below 20%
21°C 10%
22°C 2%
$2,548 Vol.
$2,548 Vol.
Sep 15, 2026
19°C or below
$101 Vol.
No
20°C
$108 Vol.
No
21°C
$195 Vol.
No
22°C
$178 Vol.
No
23°C
$121 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$1,405 Vol.
No
25°C
$252 Vol.
No
26°C
$43 Vol.
No
27°C
$86 Vol.
No
28°C
$26 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$32 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS outputs, indicate the overnight low in Tel Aviv will settle near 23°C under clear skies and light northerly winds typical of the region's Mediterranean climate in mid-September. Current observations and hourly data show temperatures stabilizing in the low to mid-20s°C after sunset, consistent with climatological norms for the date and stable high-pressure conditions that limit radiative cooling variability. This strong model consensus underpins the market's dominant 95.5% implied probability for 23°C as the daily minimum. Minor deviations could arise from localized urban heat effects or brief wind shifts, though significant drops below 22°C remain unlikely given the current atmospheric setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$2,548Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS outputs, indicate the overnight low in Tel Aviv will settle near 23°C under clear skies and light northerly winds typical of the region's Mediterranean climate in mid-September. Current observations and hourly data show temperatures stabilizing in the low to mid-20s°C after sunset, consistent with climatological norms for the date and stable high-pressure conditions that limit radiative cooling variability. This strong model consensus underpins the market's dominant 95.5% implied probability for 23°C as the daily minimum. Minor deviations could arise from localized urban heat effects or brief wind shifts, though significant drops below 22°C remain unlikely given the current atmospheric setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,548Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS outputs, indicate the overnight low in Tel Aviv will settle near 23°C under clear skies and light northerly winds typical of the region's Mediterranean climate in mid-September. Current observations and hourly data show temperatures stabilizing in the low to mid-20s°C after sunset, consistent with climatological norms for the date and stable high-pressure conditions that limit radiative cooling variability. This strong model consensus underpins the market's dominant 95.5% implied probability for 23°C as the daily minimum. Minor deviations could arise from localized urban heat effects or brief wind shifts, though significant drops below 22°C remain unlikely given the current atmospheric setup.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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