Democrat Jocelyn Benson holds an 89% implied probability in the Michigan governor race due to consistent polling leads of 5–9 points over Republican John James following their August 4 primaries. Benson, the sitting secretary of state, secured her nomination decisively and benefits from the open-seat dynamics created by term-limited incumbent Gretchen Whitmer, along with Democratic performance in recent statewide contests. James, a U.S. representative, consolidated the Republican nomination but faces headwinds in a state where the party has not won a gubernatorial election in over a decade. Recent surveys, including those from TIPP, Fox News, and AARP through mid-August, show Benson maintaining an edge amid standard midterm referendum effects and limited movement in voter preferences. Forecasters rate the contest Lean or Tilt Democratic, aligning with the market’s trader consensus on the November 3 general election outcome.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateDemocrat 89%
Republican 11%
Independent <1%
$199,604 Vol.
$199,604 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
89%
Republican
11%
Independent
<1%
Democrat 89%
Republican 11%
Independent <1%
$199,604 Vol.
$199,604 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
$47,923 Vol.
89%
Republican
$150,927 Vol.
11%
Independent
$753 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democrat Jocelyn Benson holds an 89% implied probability in the Michigan governor race due to consistent polling leads of 5–9 points over Republican John James following their August 4 primaries. Benson, the sitting secretary of state, secured her nomination decisively and benefits from the open-seat dynamics created by term-limited incumbent Gretchen Whitmer, along with Democratic performance in recent statewide contests. James, a U.S. representative, consolidated the Republican nomination but faces headwinds in a state where the party has not won a gubernatorial election in over a decade. Recent surveys, including those from TIPP, Fox News, and AARP through mid-August, show Benson maintaining an edge amid standard midterm referendum effects and limited movement in voter preferences. Forecasters rate the contest Lean or Tilt Democratic, aligning with the market’s trader consensus on the November 3 general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$199,604Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democrat Jocelyn Benson holds an 89% implied probability in the Michigan governor race due to consistent polling leads of 5–9 points over Republican John James following their August 4 primaries. Benson, the sitting secretary of state, secured her nomination decisively and benefits from the open-seat dynamics created by term-limited incumbent Gretchen Whitmer, along with Democratic performance in recent statewide contests. James, a U.S. representative, consolidated the Republican nomination but faces headwinds in a state where the party has not won a gubernatorial election in over a decade. Recent surveys, including those from TIPP, Fox News, and AARP through mid-August, show Benson maintaining an edge amid standard midterm referendum effects and limited movement in voter preferences. Forecasters rate the contest Lean or Tilt Democratic, aligning with the market’s trader consensus on the November 3 general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$199,604Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democrat Jocelyn Benson holds an 89% implied probability in the Michigan governor race due to consistent polling leads of 5–9 points over Republican John James following their August 4 primaries. Benson, the sitting secretary of state, secured her nomination decisively and benefits from the open-seat dynamics created by term-limited incumbent Gretchen Whitmer, along with Democratic performance in recent statewide contests. James, a U.S. representative, consolidated the Republican nomination but faces headwinds in a state where the party has not won a gubernatorial election in over a decade. Recent surveys, including those from TIPP, Fox News, and AARP through mid-August, show Benson maintaining an edge amid standard midterm referendum effects and limited movement in voter preferences. Forecasters rate the contest Lean or Tilt Democratic, aligning with the market’s trader consensus on the November 3 general election outcome.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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