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Halalan·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner

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Halalan·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner

John Cavanaugh 54%

Denise Powell 37%

Mark Johnston 3.2%

Evangelos Argyrakis 2.9%

Polymarket
BAGO

John Cavanaugh 54%

Denise Powell 37%

Mark Johnston 3.2%

Evangelos Argyrakis 2.9%

Polymarket
BAGO

John Cavanaugh

$4,090 Vol.

54%

Denise Powell

$852 Vol.

37%

Mark Johnston

$1,469 Vol.

3%

Evangelos Argyrakis

$333 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Sen. John Cavanaugh leads trader consensus at 54% implied probability to win Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary on May 12, driven by his strong name recognition as an Omaha-area legislator, early fundraising edge, and campaign-sponsored GBAO polls showing him ahead by 21-28 points against fragmented rivals. Denise Powell trails at 31% but has surged recently via a $1 million ad campaign launched April 13 by EMILY's List's Women Vote, CHC BOLD PAC, and Elect Democratic Women, plus a GQR survey from her backers claiming a 41-34 edge after messaging. The April 12 KETV forum amplified attacks on Cavanaugh for risking his state senate seat—potentially enabling a GOP appointment that could erode Democratic gains on abortion rights and redistricting—while GOP-funded ads underscore his general election viability in this battleground. A crowded field of six splits anti-Cavanaugh votes.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$6,744
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 12, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 4:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Sen. John Cavanaugh leads trader consensus at 54% implied probability to win Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary on May 12, driven by his strong name recognition as an Omaha-area legislator, early fundraising edge, and campaign-sponsored GBAO polls showing him ahead by 21-28 points against fragmented rivals. Denise Powell trails at 31% but has surged recently via a $1 million ad campaign launched April 13 by EMILY's List's Women Vote, CHC BOLD PAC, and Elect Democratic Women, plus a GQR survey from her backers claiming a 41-34 edge after messaging. The April 12 KETV forum amplified attacks on Cavanaugh for risking his state senate seat—potentially enabling a GOP appointment that could erode Democratic gains on abortion rights and redistricting—while GOP-funded ads underscore his general election viability in this battleground. A crowded field of six splits anti-Cavanaugh votes.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$6,744
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 12, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 4:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 4 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "John Cavanaugh" sa 54%, sinusundan ng "Denise Powell" sa 37%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 54¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 54% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Nov 25, 2025. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 4 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "John Cavanaugh" sa 54%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 54% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Denise Powell" sa 37%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.