Recent polls ahead of New Zealand’s November 2026 general election show a tight contest between the two largest parties under the MMP system, with Labour frequently recording narrow leads over National in August surveys from 1News-Verian and Talbot Mills, while Curia had National slightly ahead. This positioning supports trader consensus that Labour holds the stronger chance of securing the most party votes and seats, placing National in second. Support for minor parties including the Opportunity Party near the 5% threshold, NZ First, ACT, Greens, and Te Pāti Māori fragments the vote and influences bloc calculations without altering the major-party ordering in most models. Incumbent performance under the National-led coalition and preferred prime minister ratings remain key variables that could shift margins before election day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNew Zealand Election: 2nd Place
New Zealand Election: 2nd Place
National Party 53%
Labour Party 40%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
$18,318 Vol.
$18,318 Vol.
Nov 6, 2026
National Party
53%
Labour Party
40%
New Zealand First Party
1%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
Green Party
<1%
National Party 53%
Labour Party 40%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
$18,318 Vol.
$18,318 Vol.
Nov 6, 2026
National Party
$8,922 Vol.
53%
Labour Party
$5,028 Vol.
40%
New Zealand First Party
$1,262 Vol.
1%
Te Pāti Māori
$1,322 Vol.
<1%
ACT New Zealand
$1,243 Vol.
<1%
Green Party
$542 Vol.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polls ahead of New Zealand’s November 2026 general election show a tight contest between the two largest parties under the MMP system, with Labour frequently recording narrow leads over National in August surveys from 1News-Verian and Talbot Mills, while Curia had National slightly ahead. This positioning supports trader consensus that Labour holds the stronger chance of securing the most party votes and seats, placing National in second. Support for minor parties including the Opportunity Party near the 5% threshold, NZ First, ACT, Greens, and Te Pāti Māori fragments the vote and influences bloc calculations without altering the major-party ordering in most models. Incumbent performance under the National-led coalition and preferred prime minister ratings remain key variables that could shift margins before election day.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
Volume
$18,318Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 7, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polls ahead of New Zealand’s November 2026 general election show a tight contest between the two largest parties under the MMP system, with Labour frequently recording narrow leads over National in August surveys from 1News-Verian and Talbot Mills, while Curia had National slightly ahead. This positioning supports trader consensus that Labour holds the stronger chance of securing the most party votes and seats, placing National in second. Support for minor parties including the Opportunity Party near the 5% threshold, NZ First, ACT, Greens, and Te Pāti Māori fragments the vote and influences bloc calculations without altering the major-party ordering in most models. Incumbent performance under the National-led coalition and preferred prime minister ratings remain key variables that could shift margins before election day.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Volume
$18,318Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 7, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of New Zealand’s November 2026 general election show a tight contest between the two largest parties under the MMP system, with Labour frequently recording narrow leads over National in August surveys from 1News-Verian and Talbot Mills, while Curia had National slightly ahead. This positioning supports trader consensus that Labour holds the stronger chance of securing the most party votes and seats, placing National in second. Support for minor parties including the Opportunity Party near the 5% threshold, NZ First, ACT, Greens, and Te Pāti Māori fragments the vote and influences bloc calculations without altering the major-party ordering in most models. Incumbent performance under the National-led coalition and preferred prime minister ratings remain key variables that could shift margins before election day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateKaugnay
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
54%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
55%
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
54%
Labour
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