Russian forces have conducted persistent assaults northeast of Velykyi Burluk toward Khatnie village in Kharkiv Oblast's Kupyansk direction since late 2025, but ISW assessments confirm no territorial gains into the settlement as of early April 2026. Ukrainian defenders repelled attacks through late March, with reports of Ukrainian advances in the sector by April 9 amid broader northern Kharkiv frontline stalemates. No major escalations or breakthroughs occurred in the past 30 days, underscoring entrenched positions and logistical challenges limiting Russian momentum. Traders monitor daily ISW maps for resolution criteria—any shaded Russian control persisting through updates—before the April 30 deadline, as improving spring conditions could spur intensified operations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWill Russia enter Khatnie by...?
Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?
$113,000 Vol.
April 30
1%
$113,000 Vol.
April 30
1%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Mar 12, 2026, 9:44 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have conducted persistent assaults northeast of Velykyi Burluk toward Khatnie village in Kharkiv Oblast's Kupyansk direction since late 2025, but ISW assessments confirm no territorial gains into the settlement as of early April 2026. Ukrainian defenders repelled attacks through late March, with reports of Ukrainian advances in the sector by April 9 amid broader northern Kharkiv frontline stalemates. No major escalations or breakthroughs occurred in the past 30 days, underscoring entrenched positions and logistical challenges limiting Russian momentum. Traders monitor daily ISW maps for resolution criteria—any shaded Russian control persisting through updates—before the April 30 deadline, as improving spring conditions could spur intensified operations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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